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世界の原油運搬船市場規模調査:船舶タイプ別(中距離、パナマックス、アフラマックス、スエズマックス、大型原油運搬船、超大型原油運搬船)、および地域別予測(2020年~2027年)

Global Crude Oil Carriers Market Size study, By Vessel Type (Medium Range, Panamax, Aframax, Suezmax, Very Large Crude Carriers, and Ultra Large Crude Carriers), and Regional Forecasts 2020-2027

出版日: | 発行: Bizwit Research & Consulting LLP | ページ情報: 英文 | 納期: 2-3営業日

価格
価格表記: USDを日本円(税抜)に換算
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=105.45円
世界の原油運搬船市場規模調査:船舶タイプ別(中距離、パナマックス、アフラマックス、スエズマックス、大型原油運搬船、超大型原油運搬船)、および地域別予測(2020年~2027年)
出版日: 2020年10月01日
発行: Bizwit Research & Consulting LLP
ページ情報: 英文
納期: 2-3営業日
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 図表
  • 目次
概要

世界の原油運搬船の市場規模は、2020年から2027年の予測期間にわたって成長すると予想されています。世界の人口の増加とそれに続く原油とその副産物の需要は、予測期間において業界を後押しすると予想されます。

運搬船は、液体バルクを輸送するためのシンプルで安価な手段を提供し、国際的な海上貿易を可能にします。世界の原油運搬船市場での地位をさらに強化するために、優れたプレーヤーは改善された輸送技術と運搬船モデルを発案しています。これによって、市場の成長が促進されました。

さらに、船主は安全で環境に配慮した操業を確保するための適切な手順を整備しており、これも市場の需要を増大させます。主要サプライヤーは、世界の原油運搬船市場での地位を強化するための新しい方法を考え出しています。高度な輸送技術の統合は、主要なプレーヤーに利益をもたらす手続きの1つです。中には、改良された運搬船モデルの使用に焦点を当てているものもあります。

先進国および新興諸国からの原油に対する需要の高まりも、原油運搬船市場を後押ししています。この需要の増加は、燃料生成の必要性と化学製品生産の原料としての可能性によるものです。迅速な工業化は、世界の多くの国で原油とその副産物の需要を押し上げると予測される重要な要因の1つです。原油とその副産物に対する需要の高まりは、原油運搬船市場の成長を推進する重要な要因です。さらに、世界中の輸送産業の台頭、自動車および航空産業の増加、さまざまな最終用途産業での使用拡大、および工業化の進展により、原油製品の需要が生じています。ただし、物流コストの高さと石油輸入の減少、ならびに再生可能エネルギーへの移行は、予測期間中の原油運搬船市場の成長を妨げるとみられています。

当レポートでは、世界の原油運搬船市場について調査し、市場の概要とともに、船舶タイプ別、地域別の動向、および市場に参入する企業のプロファイルなどを提供しています。

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 世界の原油運搬船市場の定義と範囲

  • 調査の目的
  • 市場の定義と範囲
    • 調査範囲
    • 業界の進化
  • 調査対象年度
  • 為替レート

第3章 世界の原油運搬船市場力学

  • 原油運搬船市場の影響分析(2018-2027)

第4章 世界の原油運搬船市場:業界分析

  • ポーターの5フォースモデル
  • PEST分析
  • 投資採用モデル
  • アナリストの推奨事項と結論

第5章 世界の原油運搬船市場、船舶タイプ別

  • 市場スナップショット
  • 世界の原油運搬船市場、パフォーマンス-潜在的な分析:船舶タイプ別
  • 世界の原油運搬船市場の見積と予測:2017年~2027年(10億米ドル):船舶タイプ別
  • 原油運搬船市場、サブセグメント分析
    • 中距離
    • パナマックス
    • アフラマックス
    • スエズマックス
    • 大型原油運搬船
    • 超大型原油運搬船

第6章 世界の原油運搬船市場、地域分析

  • 地域市場のスナップショット
  • 北米
    • 米国
    • カナダ
  • 欧州スナップショット
    • 英国
    • ドイツ
    • フランス
    • スペイン
    • イタリア
    • その他
  • アジア太平洋地域のスナップショット
    • 中国
    • インド
    • 日本
    • オーストラリア
    • 韓国
    • その他
  • 中南米スナップショット
    • ブラジル
    • メキシコ
  • その他

第7章 競合情報

  • トップ市場戦略
  • 企業プロファイル
    • China Shipping Tanker Co., Ltd.
    • Maersk Tankers
    • Kuwait Oil Tankers Co.
    • Essar Shipping
    • OSG Ship Management Inc.
    • Tankers International LLC.
    • Alaska Tanker Co
    • Keystone Alaska LLC
    • Shipping Corporation of India
    • The National Shipping Co. Saudi Arabia

第8章 調査プロセス

図表

LIST OF TABLES

  • TABLE 1. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, REPORT SCOPE
  • TABLE 2. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY REGION 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 3. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY VESSEL TYPE 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 4. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 5. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY REGION, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 6. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 7. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY REGION, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 8. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 9. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY REGION, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 10. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 11. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY REGION, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 12. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 13. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY REGION, ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 14. U.S. CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 15. U.S. CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 16. U.S. CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 17. CANADA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 18. CANADA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 19. CANADA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 20. UK CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 21. UK CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 22. UK CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 23. GERMANY CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 24. GERMANY CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 25. GERMANY CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 26. ROE CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 27. ROE CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 28. ROE CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 29. CHINA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 30. CHINA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 31. CHINA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 32. INDIA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 33. INDIA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 34. INDIA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 35. JAPAN CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 36. JAPAN CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 37. JAPAN CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 38. ROAPAC CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 39. ROAPAC CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 40. ROAPAC CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 41. BRAZIL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 42. BRAZIL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 43. BRAZIL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 44. MEXICO CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 45. MEXICO CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 46. MEXICO CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 47. ROLA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 48. ROLA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 49. ROLA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 50. ROW CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS, 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 51. ROW CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 52. ROW CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET ESTIMATES & FORECASTS BY SEGMENT 2017-2027 (USD BILLION)
  • TABLE 53. LIST OF SECONDARY SOURCES, USED IN THE STUDY OF GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET
  • TABLE 54. LIST OF PRIMARY SOURCES, USED IN THE STUDY OF GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET
  • TABLE 55. YEARS CONSIDERED FOR THE STUDY
  • TABLE 56. EXCHANGE RATES CONSIDERED

LIST OF FIGURES

  • FIG 1. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
  • FIG 2. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, MARKET ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES
  • FIG 3. GLOBAL MARKET SIZE ESTIMATES & FORECAST METHODS
  • FIG 4. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, KEY TRENDS 2019
  • FIG 5. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, GROWTH PROSPECTS 2020-2027
  • FIG 6. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, PORTERS 5 FORCE MODEL
  • FIG 7. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, PEST ANALYSIS
  • FIG 8. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS
  • FIG 9. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, 2017 & 2027 (USD BILLION)
  • FIG 10. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, 2017 & 2027 (USD BILLION)
  • FIG 11. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, 2017 & 2027 (USD BILLION)
  • FIG 12. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, 2017 & 2027 (USD BILLION)
  • FIG 13. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET BY SEGMENT, 2017 & 2027 (USD BILLION)
  • FIG 14. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, REGIONAL SNAPSHOT 2017 & 2027
  • FIG 15. NORTH AMERICA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET 2017 & 2027 (USD BILLION)
  • FIG 16. EUROPE CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET 2017 & 2027 (USD BILLION)
  • FIG 17. ASIA PACIFIC CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET 2017 & 2027 (USD BILLION)
  • FIG 18. LATIN AMERICA CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET 2017 & 2027 (USD BILLION)
  • FIG 19. GLOBAL CRUDE OIL CARRIERS MARKET, COMPANY MARKET SHARE ANALYSIS (2019)
目次

Global Crude Oil Carriers Market is valued approximately at USD XX billion in 2019 and is anticipated to grow with a healthy growth rate of more than XX% over the forecast period 2020-2027. Increased global population and subsequent demand for crude oil and its by-products are expected to push the industry over the forecast era. Carriers provide a simple and inexpensive means of transporting liquid bulk, enabling international maritime trade. In order to, further strengthen their position on the global market for crude oil carriers, smart players are coming up with improved transport technologies and carrier models. This has helped to catalyze the growth of the market. Furthermore, shipowners have proper procedures in place to ensure safe and environmentally responsible operation, and this also increases market demand. Key suppliers are coming up with new ways to strengthen their position in the global market for crude oil carriers. The integration of advanced transport technology is one such step that benefits key players. Some of them focus on the use of improved carrier models. Growing demand for crude oil from developed and developing countries to boost the market for crude oil carriers. This increased demand can be attributed to need for fuel generation and as a feedstock for chemical production. Swift industrialization is one of the key factors projected to boost demand for crude oil and its by-products in many global economies. Growing demand for crude oil and its by-products are key factors driving the growth of the market for crude oil carriers. In addition, the rising transport industry around the world, the increasing number of automotive and aeronautical industries, the use of growth in various end-use industries and increasing industrialization are generating demand for crude products. However, high logistic costs and declining oil imports into renewable energy are likely to impede the growth of the crude oil carrier market during the forecast period.

The regional analysis of global Crude Oil Carriers Market is considered for the key regions such as Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, Latin America, and Rest of the World. High oil refining, development and trading activities in the UAE, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and other Middle Eastern countries with significant financial resources have led to the largest share of industry in the region. North America is also expected to present lucrative opportunities for carriers over the forecast period due to high crude oil production in the U.S., primarily in the states of Texas, North Dakota, and California, as well as in the Gulf of Mexico.

Major market player included in this report are:

China Shipping Tanker Co., Ltd.

Maersk Tankers

Kuwait Oil Tankers Co.

Essar Shipping

OSG Ship Management Inc.

Tankers International LLC.

Alaska Tanker Co

Keystone Alaska LLC

Shipping Corporation of India

The National Shipping Co. Saudi Arabia

The objective of the study is to define market sizes of different segments & countries in recent years and to forecast the values to the coming eight years. The report is designed to incorporate both qualitative and quantitative aspects of the industry within each of the regions and countries involved in the study. Furthermore, the report also caters the detailed information about the crucial aspects such as driving factors & challenges which will define the future growth of the market. Additionally, the report shall also incorporate available opportunities in micro markets for stakeholders to invest along with the detailed analysis of competitive landscape and product offerings of key players. The detailed segments and sub-segment of the market are explained below:

By Vessel Type:

Medium Range

Panamax

Aframax

Suezmax

Very Large Crude Carriers

Ultra Large Crude Carriers

By Region:

North America

U.S.

Canada

Europe

UK

Germany

France

Spain

Italy

ROE

Asia Pacific

China

India

Japan

Australia

South Korea

RoAPAC

Latin America

Brazil

Mexico

Rest of the World

Furthermore, years considered for the study are as follows:

Historical year - 2017, 2018

Base year - 2019

Forecast period - 2020 to 2027

Target Audience of the Global Crude Oil Carriers Market in Market Study:

Key Consulting Companies & Advisors

Large, medium-sized, and small enterprises

Venture capitalists

Value-Added Resellers (VARs)

Third-party knowledge providers

Investment bankers

Investors

Table of Contents

Chapter 1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Snapshot
  • 1.2. Global & Segmental Market Estimates & Forecasts, 2018-2027 (USD Billion)
    • 1.2.1. Crude Oil Carriers Market, by Region, 2018-2027 (USD Billion)
    • 1.2.2. Crude Oil Carriers Market, by Vessel Type, 2018-2027 (USD Billion)
  • 1.3. Key Trends
  • 1.4. Estimation Methodology
  • 1.5. Research Assumption

Chapter 2. Global Crude Oil Carriers Market Definition & Scope

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Market Definition & Scope
    • 2.2.1. Scope of the Study
    • 2.2.2. Industry Evolution
  • 2.3. Years Considered for the Study
  • 2.4. Currency Conversion Rates

Chapter 3. Global Crude Oil Carriers Market Dynamics

  • 3.1. Crude Oil Carriers Market Impact Analysis (2018-2027)
    • 3.1.1. Market Drivers
    • 3.1.2. Market Challenges
    • 3.1.3. Market Opportunities

Chapter 4. Global Crude Oil Carriers Market: Industry Analysis

  • 4.1. Porter's 5 Force Model
    • 4.1.1. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.1.2. Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.1.3. Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.1.4. Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.1.5. Competitive Rivalry
    • 4.1.6. Futuristic Approach to Porter's 5 Force Model (2017-2027)
  • 4.2. PEST Analysis
    • 4.2.1. Political
    • 4.2.2. Economical
    • 4.2.3. Social
    • 4.2.4. Technological
  • 4.3. Investment Adoption Model
  • 4.4. Analyst Recommendation & Conclusion

Chapter 5. Global Crude Oil Carriers Market, by Vessel Type

  • 5.1. Market Snapshot
  • 5.2. Global Crude Oil Carriers Market by Vessel Type, Performance - Potential Analysis
  • 5.3. Global Crude Oil Carriers Market Estimates & Forecasts by Vessel Type, 2017-2027 (USD Billion)
  • 5.4. Crude Oil Carriers Market, Sub Segment Analysis
    • 5.4.1. Medium Range
    • 5.4.2. Panamax
    • 5.4.3. Aframax
    • 5.4.4. Suezmax
    • 5.4.5. Very Large Crude Carriers
    • 5.4.6. Ultra Large Crude Carriers

Chapter 6. Global Crude Oil Carriers Market, Regional Analysis

  • 6.1. Crude Oil Carriers Market, Regional Market Snapshot
  • 6.2. North America Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.2.1. U.S. Crude Oil Carriers Market
      • 6.2.1.1. Vessel Type breakdown estimates & forecasts, 2017-2027
    • 6.2.2. Canada Crude Oil Carriers Market
  • 6.3. Europe Crude Oil Carriers Market Snapshot
    • 6.3.1. U.K. Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.3.2. Germany Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.3.3. France Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.3.4. Spain Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.3.5. Italy Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.3.6. Rest of Europe Crude Oil Carriers Market
  • 6.4. Asia-Pacific Crude Oil Carriers Market Snapshot
    • 6.4.1. China Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.4.2. India Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.4.3. Japan Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.4.4. Australia Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.4.5. South Korea Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.4.6. Rest of Asia Pacific Crude Oil Carriers Market
  • 6.5. Latin America Crude Oil Carriers Market Snapshot
    • 6.5.1. Brazil Crude Oil Carriers Market
    • 6.5.2. Mexico Crude Oil Carriers Market
  • 6.6. Rest of The World Crude Oil Carriers Market

Chapter 7. Competitive Intelligence

  • 7.1. Top Market Strategies
  • 7.2. Company Profiles
    • 7.2.1. China Shipping Tanker Co., Ltd.
      • 7.2.1.1. Key Information
      • 7.2.1.2. Overview
      • 7.2.1.3. Financial (Subject to Data Availability)
      • 7.2.1.4. Industry Summary
      • 7.2.1.5. Recent Developments
    • 7.2.2. Maersk Tankers
    • 7.2.3. Kuwait Oil Tankers Co.
    • 7.2.4. Essar Shipping
    • 7.2.5. OSG Ship Management Inc.
    • 7.2.6. Tankers International LLC.
    • 7.2.7. Alaska Tanker Co
    • 7.2.8. Keystone Alaska LLC
    • 7.2.9. Shipping Corporation of India
    • 7.2.10. The National Shipping Co. Saudi Arabia

Chapter 8. Research Process

  • 8.1. Research Process
    • 8.1.1. Data Mining
    • 8.1.2. Analysis
    • 8.1.3. Market Estimation
    • 8.1.4. Validation
    • 8.1.5. Publishing
  • 8.2. Research Attributes
  • 8.3. Research Assumption
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