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コネクタ業界の予測

Connector Industry Forecast

出版日: | 発行: Bishop & Associates, Inc. | ページ情報: 英文 | 納期: お問合せ

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価格表記: USDを日本円(税抜)に換算
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=104.83円
コネクタ業界の予測
出版日: 2020年10月16日
発行: Bishop & Associates, Inc.
ページ情報: 英文
納期: お問合せ
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 目次
概要

世界のコネクタ業界は、当初、2020年(COVID-19危機)は業界最悪の売上減少をもたらすと予測されていましたが、業界は予想よりも回復力があり、当初の予測のほんの一部しか減少しませんでした。

当レポートは、世界のコネクタ業界について調査しており、市場シェアや動向、見通し、販売実績、最終用途・地域別の市場分析および予測などの情報を提供しています。

目次

第1章 2020年:多くの人にとっての「初めて」の年!

  • コネクタに対するCOVID-19の経済的影響
  • 市場シェアの変化
  • 月別の業界販売実績
  • 2018年と2019年の成長率の変化
  • コネクタ業界のビジネスサイクル・成長サイクルのハイライト
  • コネクタ需要の過去の変化率
  • 地域産業の成長に対する通貨の影響
  • 予測の前提条件
  • 5年間の見通し(2020-2025)
  • 市場の見通しとコメント
  • 国別GDP成長率と予測:地域別(2018-2025F)
  • 世界の鉱工業生産(2010-2020)
  • 世界の市況
  • 5Gネットワーク
  • 全体的な観察と提言、など

第2章 世界のコネクタ予測

  • 市場予測:年次ドル変動
  • 市場予測:年次変動比率
  • 地域別のコネクタ市場予測
  • 地域別の年次変動
  • 最終用途機器:主要6カテゴリー
  • 最終用途機器の予測:結論
  • 比率変化(2018-2019F)と5年間のCAGR(2019F-2024F)
  • 機器セクター別の市場シェア(2019Fおよび2024F)
  • 最終用途機器の予測-詳細
  • コンピュータと周辺機器
    • モバイルコンピュータ
    • デスクトップ
    • サーバー
    • ストレージ機器
    • 入出力機器
    • 通信LANデバイス
    • その他
  • ビジネス/オフィス機器
    • 小売/POS機器
    • イメージングシステム
    • その他の事務機器
  • 計装
    • 自動試験装置
    • 分析および科学機器
    • その他の楽器
  • 医療
    • 診断および画像機器
    • 治療機器
    • その他
  • 産業
    • 重機
    • 産業オートメーション・プロセス制御
    • 建築および土木工学
    • エネルギー市場
    • 工作機械、機械およびロボット工学
    • その他
  • 自動車
    • ボディ配線・配電
    • パワートレイン
    • 快適、便利、エンターテインメント
    • ナビゲーション・計装
    • 安全・セキュリティ
  • 輸送機関
    • 商用車
    • RV・パワースポーツ
    • 商用航空
    • 船舶
    • 鉄道
    • 建設
    • 農園・造園
  • 軍事
  • 通信/データ通信
    • キャリアネットワーク
    • エンタープライズネットワーク
    • モバイル・ワイヤレス
    • ワイヤレスインフラストラクチャ
    • 加入者機器
    • ケーブル機器・インフラストラクチャ
    • その他
  • 家電
    • パーソナル/ポータブル家電
    • ホームビデオ機器
    • ホームオーディオ機器
    • 消費者向け白物家電
    • その他

第3章 北米コネクタの予測

  • 市場予測:年次ドル変動
  • 市場予測:年次変動比率
  • 最終用途機器:主要6カテゴリー
  • 最終用途機器の予測:結論
  • 比率変化(2018-2019F)と5年間のCAGR(2019F-2024F)
  • 機器セクター別の市場シェア(2019Fおよび2024F)
  • 最終用途機器の予測-詳細
  • コンピュータと周辺機器
  • ビジネス/オフィス機器
  • 計装
  • 医療
  • 産業
  • 自動車
  • 輸送機関
  • 軍事
  • 通信/データ通信
  • 家電

第4章 欧州のコネクタ予測

第5章 日本のコネクタ予測

第6章 中国のコネクタ予測

第7章 アジア太平洋コネクタの予測

第8章 その他の地域のコネクタの予測

目次
Product Code: F-2020-2

Report Summary:

  • How is the connector industry anticipated to perform in 2020? What effect has the pandemic had on the industry? Which regions appear to be weathering the pandemic better than others? Which market sectors? Which product types?
  • Which market sectors and sub-sectors will show the greatest growth in 2020, in 2025? Which market sectors and sub-sectors if any, are anticipated to contract? Which product types are anticipated to show the most growth by 2025?
  • Besides the pandemic, what outside factors are affecting connector growth in 2020? What factors may affect growth in 2021 and beyond?
  • Historically, how will 2020's performance impact demand? How are currency fluctuations impacting connector sales dollars?
  • What market and product trends will prevail in 2020 and beyond and why?

Bishop & Associates newest research report, Connector Industry Forecast reviews total world connector sales in 2019 and provides a comprehensive analysis by region and market sector of projected connector sales for 2020 through 2025. With connector sales broken down by region, market sector and sub-sector, this report provides a detailed analysis in US dollars of the world connector industry.

2020 will go down in the history books as a year of firsts. See how the pandemic has shaped the present and the future of the connector industry, order your copy of the Connector Industry Forecast.

Additional Details:

Bishop & Associates has released the Connector Industry Forecast. This eight-chapter report provides an in-depth, and detailed forecast of the worldwide connector Industry. In addition to the detailed forecasts for each region of the world (North America, Europe, Japan, China, Asia Pacific, and ROW), an industry overview is included which provides current market trends, including connector confidence level, currency fluctuation effects, and industry sales performance, as well as an outlook narrative

2020 - A Year of "Firsts":

Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Connectors

How long will the pandemic last? How fast will world economies recover once the pandemic is over? What will be the economic impact on the connector industry?

These are big, important questions that we asked ourselves in March, and as of today, still have no clear answer to. However, one can postulate by analyzing past performance in downturns and develop assumptions on what might happen next, based on this analysis.

In the two most recent downturns, connector industry sales declined for up to five consecutive quarters. The sales declines were high double-digits with the worst quarter down 35.6% (first quarter of 2009).

2001-2002: Dotcom Bubble and September 11th Attacks

Connector industry sales declined 18.8% in 2001 and 6.9% in 2002. At the time, this was the worst downturn in the connector industry since Bishop started tracking industry performance in 1980.

The following table shows the industry's performance by quarter during the 2001-2002 dotcom bubble crisis and September 11th attacks.

The downturn lasted five quarters, the longest contraction in connector industry history. Following the downturn, connector industry demand came back strong, growing 11.4% in 2003.

2008-2009: Financial/Housing Crisis and H1N1

Undoubtably, the H1N1 pandemic had some measurable effect on the global economy. However, it paled in comparison to the financial crisis's devastating impact.

The following table shows industry sales performance by quarter for the period 2008 through 2010.

This downturn lasted only four quarters but produced the two worst quarters in connector industry history (1Q09 = -35.6%; 2Q09= -32.1%).

Some interesting observations:

  • 2001 sales declined 18.8% followed by a 2002 decline of 6.8%. The downturn lasted five quarters (three quarters in 2001 and two quarters in 2002). The worst sales decline was 30.9% in 4Q01.
  • Sales rebounded 11.4% in 2003 and 18.0% in 2004. The industry achieved growth in the six consecutive years following the dotcom downturn.
  • During the 2009 financial crisis, industry sales declined 21.8%. This downturn lasted only four quarters, but it resulted in the industry's historical worst year and worst quarter (2009: -28.2%, 1Q09: -35.6%).

Although we initially forecasted that 2020 (COVID-19 crisis) would result in the industry's worst decline in sales ever, we have found the industry is more resilient than we had anticipated, declining just a fraction of our original predictions.

2020 Outlook

Due to economic effects spurred by the pandemic, Bishop is forecasting 2020 sales to decline by X.X% to $XX.XXX million. We anticipate the greatest percentage decline will occur in the ROW region, where sales will decline XX.X%, followed by Japan where sales will decline XX.9%. In US dollars, the greatest decline will occur in Europe, where connector sales are forecasted to decline by XX.2% or $X,XXX.4 million, followed by North America where connector sales are forecasted to decline by XX.X% or $X.XXX.5.

Forecast Assumptions

The following are the assumptions we are using to develop the connector industry forecast.

  • New cases of COVID-19 will continue to decline, with most economies avoiding additional shutdowns or shelter in place directives.
  • The continued slow reopening of "other" industries (shopping malls, restaurants, beauty salons, barbershops, and other nonessential businesses). The timing for opening and the rules and regulations that will be implemented to reopen will vary drastically by country, state, county, and city.
  • World economies will recover slowly throughout the fourth quarter of 2020. We expect a U-shaped and not a V-shaped recovery, meaning that in many regions previous levels of demand will not be reached until well into 2022.
  • There will be some pent-up demand for lower priced consumer goods (mobile phones, televisions, appliances, laptops, etc.) in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Consumers will be very conservative with big ticket item purchases such as cars, boats, recreational vehicles, pickup trucks, vacations, etc. We expect demand for these products not to ramp up until 2021.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 - 2020 - A Year of "Firsts" for Many of Us!

  • Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Connectors
  • 2001-2002: Dotcom Bubble and September 11th Attacks
  • 2001-2002-2003 Year-Over-Year Change in Sales by Quarter
  • 2008-2009: Financial/Housing Crisis and H1N1
  • 2008-2009-2010 Year-Over-Year Change in Sales by Quarter
  • Change in Market Share
  • Market Share by Region 2010 through 2020
  • Industry Sales Performance by Month
  • Industry Sales Performance by Market Sector 2017 and 2018 with Percent Change
  • Change in Percent Growth 2017 versus 2018
  • Industry Sales Performance by Market Sector 2018 and 2019 with Percent Change
  • Change in Percent Growth 2018 versus 2019
  • Industry Sales Performance by Market Sector 2019 and 2020F with Percent Change
  • Change in Percent Growth 2018 versus 2019
  • Historical Sales Performance
  • Connector Industry Business Cycles Growth Cycles Highlighted
  • Historical Percentage Change in Connector Demand
  • Currency Impact on Regional Industry Growth
  • August 2020 versus August 2019
  • August 2019 versus August 2018
  • August 2018 versus August 2017
  • Industry Sales Performance YTD August 2019
  • Local Currency to One USD December 2018 versus December 2019
  • 2020 Outlook
  • 2020F Connector Forecast by Geographical Region with Percent Change
  • Forecast Assumptions
  • Five-Year Outlook (2020-2025)
  • Five Year Forecast - Region Percent Year-Over-Year Change Sales
  • Five Year Forecast - Equipment Sector Percent Year-Over-Year Change Sales
  • Market Outlook and Comments
  • Computers-Peripherals Sector
  • Global Market Conditions
  • Server & PC Market by Company 2020-2021
  • Computer and Business Equipment 2019, 2020F, and 2025F with 5-Year CAGR
  • Gartner Take on PC Market
  • Other Potential Issues with this Forecast
  • Keys to Increasing Server Demand and Connector Content
  • Keys to Increasing PC/Tablet and Connector Demand
  • Some of the Overall Trends Affecting the Computer Market Sector
  • Trends by Subsector
  • Regional View
  • North America
  • Europe
  • Japan
  • China
  • Asia Pacific
  • 2020F World Computer and Peripheral Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • 2025F World Computer and Peripheral Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • Business/Office Equipment Sector
  • Global Market Conditions
  • Trends by Subsector
  • Overall
  • 2020F World Business/Office Equipment Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • Instrumentation Sector
  • Global Market Conditions
  • Economic Considerations
  • Instrumentation Equipment Sector - Sales and Net Income
  • Connector vs Semiconductor Monthly Sales Performance
  • Monthly Sales Performance Year-Over-Year
  • Driving Factors for TMI Connectors
  • China Marketplace
  • Technology Considerations in the TMI Market
  • Connector Trends in the TMI Marketplace
  • Potential Concerns
  • Market and Technology Trends
  • ATE (Semiconductor, PCB Assemblies, LCD Display Panels) Test
  • Analytical and Scientific Instruments
  • Other Instruments
  • Regional View
  • North America
  • Europe
  • Japan
  • China
  • Asia Pacific
  • ROW
  • 2020F World Instrumentation Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • Medical Equipment Sector
  • Global Market Conditions
  • North American Conditions
  • European Conditions
  • Japanese Conditions
  • Chinese Conditions
  • Asia Pacific Conditions
  • ROW Conditions
  • 2020F World Medical Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • Industrial Equipment Sector
  • Introduction and Market Definitions
  • Industrial Market - Main Market Segments
  • Outlook for the Global Industrial Market for Connectors
  • Industrial Connector Market Sales Performance by Region 2018 - 2020E
  • Regional Connector Industry Sales Performance USD vs Local Currency 2019
  • Industrial Connector Market Sales Performance by Subsector 2018-2020E
  • GDP Growth and Forecast by Country-Region 2018-2025F
  • In 2020, Global GDP Growth is Expected to Achieve a Record Drop of -5.2% YoY
  • Global Industrial Production 2010-2020
  • Regional View
  • North America
  • Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2025 of the NA Industrial Market for Connectors
  • Europe
  • Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2025 of the European Industrial Market for Connectors
  • Japan
  • Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2025 of the Japanese Industrial Market for Connectors
  • China
  • Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2025 of the Chinese Industrial Market for Connectors
  • Asia Pacific
  • Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2025 of the AP Industrial Market for Connectors
  • ROW
  • Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2024 of the ROW Industrial Market for Connectors
  • Industrial Market for Connectors - Market Outlook 2020F through 2025F
  • Industrial Market for Connector Five-Year CAGR 2020F through 2025F by Subsector
  • Industrial Market for Connectors by Region 2019, 2020F, and 2025F
  • Industrial Market for Connectors by Segment 2019, 2020F, and 2025F
  • Five-Year CAGR by Region for the Industrial Market for Connectors 2020F to 2025F
  • Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2024 of the World Industrial Market for Connectors
  • 2020F World Industrial Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • Automotive Sector
  • Global View
  • Automotive Connector Sales by Region 2019, 2020F, and 2021F with Percent Growth
  • Automotive Light Vehicle Production 2019-2025
  • 2015, 2020, and 2025 Worldwide Automotive Connector Market by Region with 5- and 10-Year CAGR
  • 2020F World Automotive Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • Transportation - Non-Automotive
  • Commercial Vehicles
  • Civil Aviation
  • Rail
  • RV and Power Sport (Motorcycles, ATVs, and Other Similar Equipment) and Marine
  • 2020F World Transportation Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • Military/Aerospace Sector
  • Global Market Conditions
  • 2020F World Military/Aerospace Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • Telecom Equipment Sector
  • Global Market Conditions
  • 5G Networks
  • 2020F World Telecom/Datacom Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
  • Consumer Electronics Market Sector
  • Global Market Performance & Forecast
  • Consumer Electronic Market Segments
  • Current Nature of this Market and Connector Applications
  • Overall Observation and Comments
  • Latest Input: 2020 CES
  • Products
  • 2020F World Consumer Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

Chapter 2 - World Connector Forecast

  • World Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Dollar Change
  • World Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Percent Change
  • World Connector Market Forecast by Region
  • Year-to-Year Change by Region
  • Top Six End-Use Equipment Categories
  • World End-Use Equipment Forecast - Summary
  • 2018-2019F Percent Change and 2019F-2024F Five-Year CAGR
  • 2019F and 2024F Market Share by Equipment Sector
  • World End-Use Equipment Forecast - Detail
  • Computers & Peripherals
    • Mobile Computers
    • Desktops
    • Servers
    • Storage Equipment
    • Input/Output Equipment
  • Communication LAN Devices
    • Other Computer Equipment
  • Business/Office Equipment
    • Retail/POS Equipment
    • Imaging Systems
    • Other Office Equipment
  • Instrumentation
    • Automatic Test Equipment
    • Analytical & Scientific Instruments
    • Other Instruments
  • Medical
    • Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
    • Therapeutic Equipment
    • Other Medical Equipment
  • Industrial
    • Heavy Equipment
    • Industrial Automation & Process Control
    • Building & Civil Engineering
    • Energy Markets
    • Machine Tools, Machinery & Robotics
    • Other Equipment
  • Automotive
    • Body Wiring & Power Distribution
    • Powertrain
    • Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
    • Navigation & Instrumentation
    • Safety & Security
  • Transportation
    • Commercial Vehicles
    • RV's & Power Sports
    • Commercial Air
    • Marine
    • Rail
    • Construction
    • Farm & Garden
  • Military
  • Telecom/Datacom
    • Carrier Network
    • Enterprise Network
    • Mobile & Wireless
    • Wireless Infrastructure
    • Subscriber Equipment
    • Cable-Equipment-Infrastructure
    • Other Telecommunications
  • Consumer
    • Personal/Portable Consumer Electronics
    • Home Video Equipment
    • Home Audio Equipment
    • Consumer White Goods
    • Other Consumer
    • Other Equipment
  • World End-Use Equipment Forecast by Region
    • Computers & Peripherals
    • Business/Retail/Education Equipment
    • Instrumentation Equipment
    • Medical Equipment
    • Industrial Equipment
    • Automotive
    • Transportation Equipment
    • Military/Aerospace Equipment
    • Telecom/Datacom/ Equipment
    • Consumer Equipment
    • Other Equipment

    Chapter 3 - North American Connector Forecast

    • North American Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Dollar Change
    • North American Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Percent Change
    • Top Six End-Use Equipment Categories
    • North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Summary
    • 2018-2019F Percent Change and 2019F-2024F Five-Year CAGR
    • 2019F and 2024F Market Share by Equipment Sector
    • North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Detail
    • Computers & Peripherals
      • Mobile Computers
      • Desktops
      • Servers
      • Storage Equipment
      • Input/Output Equipment
      • Communication LAN Devices
      • Other Computer Equipment
    • Business/Office Equipment
      • Retail/POS Equipment
      • Imaging Systems
      • Other Office Equipment
    • Instrumentation
      • Automatic Test Equipment
      • Analytical & Scientific Instruments
      • Other Instruments
    • Medical
      • Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
      • Therapeutic Equipment
      • Other Medical Equipment
    • Industrial
      • Heavy Equipment
      • Industrial Automation & Process Control
      • Building & Civil Engineering
      • Energy Markets
      • Machine Tools, Machinery & Robotics
      • Other Equipment
    • Automotive
      • Body Wiring & Power Distribution
      • Powertrain
      • Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
      • Navigation & Instrumentation
      • Safety & Security
    • Transportation
      • Commercial Vehicles
      • RV's & Power Sports
      • Commercial Air
      • Marine
      • Rail
      • Construction
      • Farm & Garden
    • Military
    • Telecom/Datacom
      • Carrier Network
      • Enterprise Network
      • Mobile & Wireless
      • Wireless Infrastructure
      • Subscriber Equipment
      • Cable-Equipment-Infrastructure
      • Other Telecommunications
    • Consumer
      • Personal/Portable Consumer Electronics
      • Home Video Equipment
      • Home Audio Equipment
      • Consumer White Goods
      • Other Consumer
    • Other Equipment

Chapters 4 Thru 8 Provide the Same Detail Level as Chapter 3

Chapter 4 - European Connector Forecast

Chapter 5 - Japanese Connector Forecast

Chapter 6 - Chinese Connector Forecast

Chapter 7 - Asia Pacific Connector Forecast

Chapter 8 - ROW Connector Forecast

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