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無線ネットワークのデータトラフィック:世界の動向と予測

Wireless Network Data Traffic: Worldwide Trends and Forecasts 2019-2024

発行 Analysys Mason 商品コード 350693
出版日 ページ情報 英文 26 Slides
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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無線ネットワークのデータトラフィック:世界の動向と予測 Wireless Network Data Traffic: Worldwide Trends and Forecasts 2019-2024
出版日: 2019年04月16日 ページ情報: 英文 26 Slides
概要

当レポートでは、世界の無線ネットワークのデータトラフィックについて調査分析し、5ヶ年予測、主要動向、促進要因・阻害要因、コストの影響、価格動向など、体系的な情報を提供しています。

調査対象地域

  • 西欧
  • 中欧・東欧
  • 新興アジア太平洋地域
  • 先進アジア太平洋地域
  • 中東・北アフリカ
  • サブサハラアフリカ
  • 北米
  • ラテンアメリカ

主な調査項目・区分

  • モバイルデータの総利用数と平均利用数
    • ハンドセット
    • 中型スクリーンデバイス
    • USBモデムおよびルーター
  • Wi-Fiデータの総利用数と平均利用数
    • ハンドセット
    • 中型スクリーンデバイス
    • ラップトップ
目次

"It is hard to envisage anything other than a significant slowdown in cellular data traffic growth rates during the forecast period."

There is much greater scope for further cellular data traffic increases in emerging markets than in developed markets due to the absence of high fixed wireline broadband penetration.

This report provides:

  • 5-year forecasts of wireless data traffic worldwide, in 8 regions and in selected countries
  • analysis of the key trends in, and drivers and inhibitors of, data traffic
  • discussion of the impact of cost and pricing on data traffic
  • analysis of the trends in private and public usage, and their effect on the use of mobile and Wi-Fi connectivity.

Table of Contents

  • 6. Executive summary
  • 7. Executive summary: increased usage at home is likely to be the biggest driver of cellular data traffic growth in the long term
  • 8. Worldwide trends
  • 9. Cellular data traffic in emerging markets grew strongly in 2018 and we forecast that 79% of all cellular data traffic will come from these markets in 2024
  • 10. The substitution of wireline broadband is a very important driver of cellular data traffic growth in emerging markets
  • 11. Cellular data traffic growth rates in most developed markets are continuing to decline
  • 12. 5G will only have a limited impact on prevailing cellular data traffic trends
  • 13. 5G fixed--wireless, cloud gaming, AR and VR are all areas that could drive data traffic growth, but the impact of 5G fixed--wireless is more certain
  • 14. New device form factors such as foldable phones are not expected to significantly affect cellular data traffic trends
  • 15. The data-only device share of total cellular data traffic is dominated by local factors and there is no clear single global trend
  • 16. The relevance of public Wi-Fi will be limited in many countries during the forecast period, but in-home Wi-Fi appears to be more secure against cellular inroads
  • 17. Western Europe
  • 18. Western Europe: the overall data traffic growth rate in Western Europe decreased in 2018, but not dramatically
  • 19. Western Europe: we continue to forecast a downward trend in the overall cellular data traffic growth
  • 20. Central and Eastern Europe
  • 21. Central and Eastern Europe: the cellular data traffic growth rate slowed down in CEE in 2018
  • 22. Central and Eastern Europe: there is little prospect of widespread wireline substitution in CEE during the forecast period
  • 23. Middle East and North Africa
  • 24. Middle East and North Africa: data usage is far higher in Saudi Arabia than in the other Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) countries that we forecast individually
  • 25. Middle East and North Africa: the cellular data share of the total data traffic will decline in some countries in MENA
  • 26. Sub-Saharan Africa
  • 27. Sub-Saharan Africa: traffic growth remained strong in 2018 and similar to that in 2017
  • 28. Sub-Saharan Africa: increases in smartphone penetration and the total number of data users will help to drive traffic growth
  • 29. Emerging Asia--Pacific
  • 30. Emerging Asia--Pacific: traffic growth continued to be very strong in 2018, but the growth rate was less than that in 2017
  • 31. Emerging Asia--Pacific: the rate of traffic growth will decrease from the exceedingly high levels that were seen in 2017 and 2018
  • 32. Developed Asia--Pacific
  • 33. Developed Asia--Pacific: traffic growth is generally slowing, but is set to remain strong in 2019
  • 34. Developed Asia--Pacific: cellular data traffic growth rates are not expected to accelerate significantly
  • 35. North America
  • 36. North America: the reported cellular data traffic growth was extremely low in the USA in 2017
  • 37. North America: 5G will play a significant role in the cellular data traffic trends in the USA during the forecast period
  • 38. Latin America
  • 39. Latin America: the cellular data traffic growth rate continues to be high
  • 40. Latin America: there is still potential for strong cellular data traffic growth in LATAM
  • 41. Appendix
  • 42. Fixed broadband penetration will still be considerably higher in developed markets than in emerging markets, even in 2023
  • 43. About the author and Analysys Mason
  • 44. About the author
  • 45. Analysys Mason's consulting and research are uniquely positioned
  • 46. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 47. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Cellular data traffic, by region, 2016--2024
  • Figure 2: Cellular data traffic for developed economies, emerging economies and worldwide, 2016--2024, based on Analysys Mason's 2017 and 2018 forecasts
  • Figure 3: Average 4G smartphone usage, 2018, and GDP per capita, PPP, 20171
  • Figure 4: Annual cellular data traffic growth, selected developed markets, 2015--2019
  • Figure 5: 5G device share of cellular data traffic, 2019--2024
  • Figure 6: Data-only device share of the total cellular data traffic, selected countries, 2018 and 2024
  • Figure 7: Automatically offloaded Wi-Fi traffic total, and this traffic as a percentage of cellular traffic, South Korea, 1Q 2015--4Q 2018
  • Figure 8: Annual rate of growth of cellular data traffic, selected countries, WE, 2016--2019
  • Figure 9: Cellular data traffic per head of the population per month, selected countries, WE, 2017 and 2018
  • Figure 10: Cellular data traffic by country, WE, 2016--2024
  • Figure 11: Annual rate of growth of cellular data traffic, selected countries, CEE, 2016--2019
  • Figure 12: Cellular data traffic per head of the population per month, selected countries, CEE, 2017 and 2018
  • Figure 13: Cellular data traffic by market, CEE, 2016--2024
  • Figure 14: Annual rate of growth of cellular data traffic, selected countries, MENA, 2016--2019
  • Figure 15: Cellular data traffic per head of the population per month, selected countries, MENA, 2017 and 2018
  • Figure 16: Cellular data traffic by market, MENA, 2016--2024
  • Figure 17: Annual rate of growth of cellular data traffic, selected countries, SSA, 2016--2019
  • Figure 18: Cellular data traffic per head of the population per month, selected countries, SSA, 2017 and 2018
  • Figure 19: Cellular data traffic by market, SSA, 2016--2024
  • Figure 20: Annual rate of growth of cellular data traffic, selected countries, EMAP, 2016--2019
  • Figure 21: Cellular data traffic per head of the population per month, selected countries, EMAP, 2017 and 2018
  • Figure 22: Cellular data traffic by market, EMAP, 2016--2024
  • Figure 23: Annual rate of growth of cellular data traffic, selected countries, DVAP, 2016--2019
  • Figure 24: Cellular data traffic per head of the population per month, selected countries, DVAP, 2017 and 2018
  • Figure 25: Cellular data traffic by market, DVAP, 2016--2024
  • Figure 26: Annual rate of growth of cellular data traffic, Canada and the USA, 2016--2019
  • Figure 27: Cellular data traffic per head of the population per month, Canada and the USA, 2017 and 2018
  • Figure 28: Cellular data traffic by market, North America, 2016--2024
  • Figure 29: Annual rate of growth of cellular data traffic, selected countries, LATAM, 2016--2019
  • Figure 30: Cellular data traffic per head of the population per month, selected countries, LATAM, 2017 and 2018
  • Figure 31: Cellular data traffic by market, LATAM, 2016--2024
  • Figure 32: Fixed broadband household penetration by region, 2018 and 2023
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