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中欧・東欧の固定サービス:2018年~2023年の動向と予測

Fixed Services in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2019-2024

発行 Analysys Mason 商品コード 346268
出版日 ページ情報 英文 11 Slides
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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中欧・東欧の固定サービス:2018年~2023年の動向と予測 Fixed Services in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2019-2024
出版日: 2019年11月18日 ページ情報: 英文 11 Slides
概要

当レポートでは、中欧・東欧における固定通信サービス市場について調査分析し、5ヶ年予測のほか、動向、促進要因、予測の前提条件、オペレーター戦略の概要、国別のトピックなど、体系的な情報を提供しています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

世界の動向

  • 世界:固定サービス収益は引き続き増加

地域の動向

  • 固定ブロードバンド世帯の普及率が比較的低いが、接続数と収益成長の可能性はある
  • 固定サービス:ファイバーの導入により、次世代アクセス (NGA) の採用が増える
  • ブロードバンド:経済の好調とNGA増資のおかげで、すべての国で世帯ブロードバンド接続数が増える
  • ブロードバンド:ほとんどの国で競争が激しいが、バンドリングの増加によって長期的なASPUの安定へ
  • 固定サービス:固定モバイルのコンバージドバンドルとスピードの高速化により、オペレーターは収益成長を維持できる

国別の動向

  • チェコ共和国:固定ブロードバンドのインフラへの投資が、固定収益を促進
  • ポーランド:オペレーターは、NGAネットワークの開始とカバレッジに注目
  • ロシア:オペレーターのM&Aによって、固定市場の競争が激化
  • トルコ:インフレが収益動向に影響を与えるも、オペレーターの固定、モバイル、有料TVサービスへの増資によって収益成長が促進

予測手法と前提条件

著者とAnalysys Masonについて

目次

"Next-generation access network roll-outs and attractive bundled offers will support broadband household penetration growth across Central and Eastern Europe."

This report examines key trends and drivers and provides comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). It also provides forecasts for 16 individually modelled countries including country views for the Czech Republic, Poland, Russia and Turkey.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the Central and Eastern European region and for 14 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Countries modelled individuallyDetailed country commentary
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Czech Republic
  • Estonia
  • Hungary
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Montenegro
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Serbia
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Turkey
  • Ukraine
  • Czech Republic
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Turkey

DATA COVERAGE

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. Executive summary
  • 7. Worldwide trends
  • 8. Worldwide: the increase in fixed broadband revenue will be driven by increasing next generation access (NGA) take up
  • 9. Regional trends
  • 10. The fixed voice retail revenue will decline rapidly, but both fixed broadband and business services revenue will grow at a CAGR of 2.6%
  • 11. Over 60% of households in CEE will have an active NGA broadband connection in 2024
  • 12. NGA network roll outs and attractive bundled offers will support broadband household penetration growth across the region
  • 13. Increasing broadband household penetration and NGA service take up will help operators to maintain reasonably stable ASPU levels
  • 14. The increasing coverage of high speed broadband networks will help operators to maintain broadband revenue growth
  • 15. Country level trends
  • 16. Czech Republic: consumers will have a greater choice of fixed broadband technology following FTTP/B and 5G BFWA network expansions
  • 17. Poland: investments in infrastructure will allow operators to maintain ASPU levels despite the high competitive pressure
  • 18. Russia: fixed broadband revenue will grow modestly thanks to enhancements in service quality
  • 19. Turkey: increasing fibre household penetration and bundled services will help to maintain the high fixed broadband ASPU
  • 20. Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 21. Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
  • 22. Examples of forecast input drivers
  • 23. About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 24. About the authors
  • 25. Analysys Mason's consulting and research are uniquely positioned
  • 26. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 27. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms and pay TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014 2024
  • Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in CEE and the rest of the world, 2014 2024
  • Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014 2024
  • Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014 2024
  • Figure 5: Fixed connections by type, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2014 2024
  • Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2014 2024
  • Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR billion), 2014 2024
  • Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014 2024
  • Figure 9: Fixed internet traffic per broadband connection, Central and Eastern Europe (GB per month), 2014 2024
  • Figure 10a: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014 2024
  • Figure 10b: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014 2024
  • Figure 11a: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014 2024
  • Figure 11b: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014 2024
  • Figure 12: Fixed voice, broadband and pay TV ASPU, Czech Republic (CZK per month), 2014 2024
  • Figure 13: Broadband connections by type, Czech Republic (million), 2014 2024
  • Figure 14: Fixed voice, broadband and pay TV ASPU, Poland (PLN per month), 2014 2024
  • Figure 15: Broadband connections by type, Poland (million), 2014 2024
  • Figure 16: Fixed voice, broadband and pay TV ASPU, Russia (RUB per month), 2014 2024
  • Figure 17: Broadband connections by type, Russia (million), 2014 2024
  • Figure 18: Fixed voice, broadband and pay TV ASPU, Turkey (TRY per month), 2014 2024
  • Figure 19: Broadband connections by type, Turkey (million), 2014 2024
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