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中欧・東欧の固定サービス:2018年〜2023年の動向と予測

Fixed Services in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2018-2023

発行 Analysys Mason 商品コード 346268
出版日 ページ情報 英文 11 Slides
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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中欧・東欧の固定サービス:2018年〜2023年の動向と予測 Fixed Services in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2018-2023
出版日: 2018年11月27日 ページ情報: 英文 11 Slides
概要

当レポートでは、中欧・東欧における固定通信サービス市場について調査分析し、5ヶ年予測のほか、動向、促進要因、予測の前提条件、オペレーター戦略の概要、国別のトピックなど、体系的な情報を提供しています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

世界の動向

  • 世界:固定サービス収益は引き続き増加

地域の動向

  • 固定ブロードバンド世帯の普及率が比較的低いが、接続数と収益成長の可能性はある
  • 固定サービス:ファイバーの導入により、次世代アクセス (NGA) の採用が増える
  • ブロードバンド:経済の好調とNGA増資のおかげで、すべての国で世帯ブロードバンド接続数が増える
  • ブロードバンド:ほとんどの国で競争が激しいが、バンドリングの増加によって長期的なASPUの安定へ
  • 固定サービス:固定モバイルのコンバージドバンドルとスピードの高速化により、オペレーターは収益成長を維持できる

国別の動向

  • チェコ共和国:固定ブロードバンドのインフラへの投資が、固定収益を促進
  • ポーランド:オペレーターは、NGAネットワークの開始とカバレッジに注目
  • ロシア:オペレーターのM&Aによって、固定市場の競争が激化
  • トルコ:インフレが収益動向に影響を与えるも、オペレーターの固定、モバイル、有料TVサービスへの増資によって収益成長が促進

予測手法と前提条件

著者とAnalysys Masonについて

目次

"Investments in next-generation infrastructure in Central and Eastern Europe, as well as the expansion of network coverage in the region, will drive fixed broadband revenue during the forecast period."

We estimate that fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will increase by EUR1.1 billion in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) by 2023, driven by large-scale next-generation access (NGA) roll-outs. In this report, we examine key trends and drivers and provide comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the CEE region and for 14 individually modelled countries.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the Central and Eastern European region and for 14 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Countries modelled individuallyDetailed country commentary
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Czech Republic
  • Estonia
  • Hungary
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Turkey
  • Ukraine
  • Czech Republic
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Turkey

DATA COVERAGE

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Table of Contents

  • 5.Executive summary
  • 6.Telecoms fixed revenue will continue to grow during the next few years, driven by revenue growth from fixed network investments
  • 7.Worldwide trends
  • 8.Worldwide: fixed service revenue will continue to increase in the forecast period, reaching USD582 billion in 2023
  • 9.Regional trends
  • 10.The relatively low rate of fixed broadband household penetration means that there is potential for an increased number of connections and revenue growth
  • 11.Fixed services: next generation access (NGA) adoption will increase strongly over the forecast period, led by the roll-out of fibre
  • 12.Broadband: the number of household broadband connections will increase in all countries in CEE thanks to a better economic outlook and more NGA investments
  • 13.Broadband: the broadband segment is highly competitive in most CEE countries, but increased bundling will help to stabilise long-term ASPU
  • 14.Fixed services: fixed-mobile converged bundles and speed upgrades will help operators to maintain revenue growth
  • 15.Country-level trends
  • 16.Czech Republic: investments in fixed broadband infrastructure will drive fixed revenue
  • 17.Poland: operators' key focus will be on NGA network roll-outs and coverage upgrades
  • 18.Russia: operators' mergers and acquisitions of regional players has led to greater fixed market competition
  • 19.Turkey: inflation will distort revenue trends, but strong operator investments in fixed, mobile and pay-TV services will drive revenue growth
  • 20.Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 21.Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge22.Examples of forecast input drivers
  • 23.About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 24.About the authors
  • 25.About Analysys Mason
  • 26.Research from Analysys Mason
  • 27.Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in CEE and worldwide, USD (2017) billion
  • Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 4: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR billion), 2013--2023
  • Figure 5: Fixed connections by type, Central and Eastern Europe (million), --2023
  • Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2013--2023
  • Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR billion), 2013--2023
  • Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 9: Fixed Internet traffic per broadband connection, Central and Eastern Europe (GB per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 10: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 11: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 12: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 13: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 14: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Czech Republic (CZK per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 15: Broadband connections by technology, Czech Republic (million), 2013--2023
  • Figure 16: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Poland (PLN per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 17: Broadband connections by technology, Poland (million), 2013--2023
  • Figure 18: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Russia (RUB per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 19: Broadband connections by technology, Russia (million), 2013--2023
  • Figure 20: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Turkey (TRY per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 21: Broadband connections by technology, Turkey (million), 2013--2023
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