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西欧の固定サービス:動向・予測 (2016-2021年)

Fixed Services in Western Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2016-2021

発行 Analysys Mason 商品コード 345374
出版日 ページ情報 英文 26 Slides
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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西欧の固定サービス:動向・予測 (2016-2021年) Fixed Services in Western Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2016-2021
出版日: 2017年02月28日 ページ情報: 英文 26 Slides
概要

西欧における全体的な固定収益の減少にも関わらず、固定ブロードバンドおよびIPTV収益は2015年から2021年の間に2.5%のCAGR (年間複合成長率) で成長する見込み。

当レポートでは、西欧地域の固定サービスの市場について調査し、世界的動向、西欧地域における固定サービスの接続数・収益の推移と予測、国別の主要動向、技術区分別の5カ年予測などをまとめています。

調査項目

  • 固定接続数
    • 音声・固定ブロードバンド・IPTV・ダイアルアップ
    • ナローバンド音声・VoBB
    • DSL・FTTH/B・ケーブル・BFWA・その他
  • 固定収益
    • サービス・リテール
    • 音声・ブロードバンド・IPTV・ダイアルアップ・BNS
    • DSL・FTTH/B・ケーブル・BFWA・その他
  • 固定音声トラフィック
    • 発信呼:MoU

調査対象国

  • オーストリア
  • ベルギー
  • デンマーク
  • フィンランド
  • フランス
  • ドイツ
  • ギリシャ
  • アイルランド
  • イタリア
  • オランダ
  • ノルウェー
  • ポルトガル
  • スペイン
  • スウェーデン
  • スイス
  • 英国

目次

  • エグゼクティブサマリー
  • 世界の動向
    • 世界の収益は、ネットワーク展開におけるインフラ投資に促進され、モバイル・固定セグメントで拡大
    • 固定サービス:DVAPおよびEMAPにおけるFTTP/Bの優位性は、世界のファイバー浸透率を2021年における全FBB回線の53%へと押し上げる
    • 固定ブロードバンド:世帯浸透率はNGAの可用性・魅力的なバンドルに促進され全ての地域で増加する見込み
  • 地域の動向
    • モバイル・固定ブロードバンドARPUの低下は減速するが、予測期間を通して続く
    • 固定サービス:VDSLは2019年における主要な固定ブロードバンドアクセス技術として成功する見込み
    • 固定ブロードバンド:イタリアはかなりのネットワーク改善が計画されているため、最も成長の速い市場に
    • 対象地域:西欧16ヶ国は2015年における世界の通信収益の21%を構成
    • 拡大するNGA回線の世帯普及率はブロードバンドASPUの低下が減速させる見込み
  • 予測手法・前提条件
  • 著者・Analysys Mason について

図表リスト

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目次

"Despite a decline in overall fixed revenue in Western Europe, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will grow at a CAGR of 2.5% between 2015 and 2021."

Fixed broadband revenue in Western Europe (WE) is expected to grow steadily, while overall fixed services revenue will decline.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for WE
  • worldwide context, regional analysis and commentary
  • forecasting informed by on-the-ground market experts from our Research and Consulting divisions
  • additional analysis based on Analysys Mason's Telecoms Market Matrix, a comprehensive source of trusted quarterly data that sizes European telecoms markets.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Countries modelled individually in the data:

  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Denmark
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Portugal
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • UK

DATA COVERAGE

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Lee Giet (Research Analyst) is a member of the regional markets research team in London, contributing mainly to the Telecoms Market Matrix, European Core Forecasts, European Country Reports and Global Telecoms Forecasts research programmes. Lee holds a BSc in Physics from University College London (UCL).

Martin Scott (Principal Analyst) co-ordinates Analysys Mason's research initiatives related to media, TV, fixed broadband and convergence. He manages the Fixed Broadband and Multi-Play research programme and is a significant contributor to the Future Comms and Media programme. Martin has held numerous positions within Analysys Mason during the last 10 years, including heading the company's Consumer Services, Data and Regional Markets practices. He also launched Analysys Mason's Connected Consumer and Consumer smartphone usage series of research. His primary areas of specialisation include service convergence, OTT video and media, consumer smartphone usage, the bundling and pricing of multi-play services.

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. Executive summary
  • 7. Worldwide trends
  • 8. Revenue worldwide will increase in the mobile and fixed segments, driven by infrastructure investments in network roll-out
  • 9. Fixed services: FTTP/B predominance in DVAP and EMAP will boost worldwide fibre penetration to 53% of all FBB lines in 2021
  • 10. Fixed broadband: Household penetration will increase in all regions driven by the availability of NGA and attractive bundles
  • 11. Regional trends
  • 12. The decline in mobile and fixed broadband ARPU slowed in 2015, but will continue throughout the forecast period
  • 13. Fixed services: VDSL will take over as the leading fixed broadband access technology in 2019
  • 14. Fixed broadband: Italy will be the fastest growing market because substantial network improvements are planned
  • 15. Geographical coverage: 16 Western European countries comprised 21% of worldwide telecoms revenue in 2015
  • 16. The increasing household penetration of NGA lines will slow down the decline in broadband ASPU
  • 17. Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 18. We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
  • 19. We use a vast variety of primary and secondary research for data collection; we use five key drivers and follow strict principles in forecasts
  • 20. A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
  • 21. About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 22. About the authors
  • 23. About Analysys Mason
  • 24. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 25. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 2: Telecoms retail revenue growth by type and country, worldwide, 2015-2021
  • Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and mobile broadband, fixed voice, VoBBand IPTV connections, worldwide, 2011-2021
  • Figure 4: Fixed broadband penetration of households by region, 2011-2021
  • Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, and mobile ARPU, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and growth rates, Western Europe, 2015-2021
  • Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, Western Europe, 2015-2021
  • Figure 8: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, pay-TVand mobile broadband connections, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 9a: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 9b: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation and NGA share of fixed broadband connections by country, Western Europe, 2021
  • Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Western Europe
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