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中東・北アフリカ (MENA) のモバイルサービス市場:動向と予測

Mobile Services in the Middle East and North Africa: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022

発行 Analysys Mason 商品コード 345106
出版日 ページ情報 英文 28 Slides
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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中東・北アフリカ (MENA) のモバイルサービス市場:動向と予測 Mobile Services in the Middle East and North Africa: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022
出版日: 2017年10月10日 ページ情報: 英文 28 Slides
概要

当レポートでは、中東・北アフリカ (MENA) のモバイルサービス市場について調査分析し、5ヶ年予測、動向・促進要因・予測の前提条件、オペレーター戦略の概要、国別動向など、体系的な情報を提供しています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

世界動向

  • 世界:モバイルサービス収益は増加傾向、2022年には8,630憶米ドルに

地域別動向

  • モバイルデータサービスが収益成長を促進するも、モバイル音声収益が引き続き優勢
  • 成熟市場とSIM登録の強制政策によって、新規のモバイル接続数は減少
  • 2022年までに全接続数の42%が3Gに、LTEは接続数の約31%を占める (M2Mを除く)
  • データ収益化の成長機会によって、2022年に4G/5Gのユーザーベースは1億7440万に
  • データ成長と後払接続への移行で、ARPUの減少率が減る
  • 4G接続とデジタルサービスが、従来のサービス収益の低迷を相殺

国別動向

  • イラン:MVNOの参入に相まって、スマートフォンと4Gサービスの導入が将来の成長を支持
  • クウェート:強気なデータ取り込みにもかかわらず、市場浸透やARPUの衰えが収益成長のネックに
  • オマーン:ますます厳しい取引条件を背景に、データ収益は強気に成長
  • カタール:市場はまだ成長の可能性を秘める
  • サウジアラビア:収益は2016年に縮小するも、データ使用により、今後5年間は大幅に安定
  • UAE:健全な経済、オペレーターによるインフラ投資とデジタル計画によって、着実に成長

著者・Analysys Masonについて

図表

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目次

"Smartphone adoption remains strong across the Middle East and North Africa and is helping to increase public awareness and use of LTE, particularly in Gulf Cooperation Council countries that are already deploying pre-5G technologies."

We expect that 67.1% of total telecoms service revenue in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) in 2022 will come from mobile services. In this report, we examine key trends and drivers and provide comprehensive mobile telecoms market forecasts for the MENA region and for 12 individually modelled countries, including country views for Iran, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE..

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 127 mobile KPIs for the MENA region and for 12 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile service, and for six key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, highlighting similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile operators.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Countries modelled individuallyDetailed country commentary
  • Algeria
  • Egypt
  • Iran
  • Iraq
  • Israel
  • Kuwait
  • Morocco
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Tunisia
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)
  • Iran
  • Kuwait
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)

DATA COVERAGE

Mobile connections
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone
Mobile revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data
Mobile ARPU
  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data
Voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. Service revenue in MENA will grow to USD 73 billion in 2022, as competition increases despite a weaker economic outlook
  • 7. Worldwide trends
  • 8. Worldwide: Mobile service revenue will continue to increase during the forecast period, reaching USD 863 billion in 2022
  • 9. Regional trends
  • 10. Mobile data services will drive revenue growth, but mobile voice revenue will continue to dominate in MENA
  • 11. Maturing markets and enforced SIM registration policies have led to a slowdown in numbers of new mobile connections
  • 12. 42% of all connections will be 3G by 2022, while LTE will account for nearly 31% of connections (excluding M2M)
  • 13. The 4G/5G user base in the region will reach 174.4 million in 2022, with growing opportunities for data monetisation
  • 14. Growth in data and migration to postpaid connections will help to reduce the rate of decline of ARPU
  • 15. 4G connectivity and digital services will help to offset a slowdown in the growth of legacy services revenue
  • 16. Country-level trends
  • 17. Iran: Adoption of smartphones and 4G services, combined with MVNO entry in 2017, will underpin future growth
  • 18. Kuwait: Revenue growth will be hampered by market saturation and ARPU erosion, despite strong take-up of data
  • 19. Oman: Data revenue will grow strongly against the backdrop of increasingly challenging commercial conditions
  • 20. Qatar: The market still has potential for growth, provided that the regional blockade does not stretch beyond a few months
  • 21. Saudi Arabia: Revenue contracted in 2016, but will remain largely stable over the next 5 years, due to data usage
  • 22. UAE: Steady growth, driven by a healthy economy and operators' investment in infrastructure and digital initiatives
  • 23. About the author and Analysys Mason
  • 24. About the author
  • 25. About Analysys Mason
  • 26. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 27. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1. Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 2. Mobile service revenue in the Middle East and North Africa and worldwide, USD billions (2016), 2012-2022
  • Figure 3. Telecoms retail revenue by mobile service type, and mobile ARPU, Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 4. Telecoms retail revenue by mobile service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 5.Connections by type, and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 6. Active mobile SIM penetration by country (excluding M2M), Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 7. Mobile connections by technology generation (excluding M2m), and 3G, 4g and 5G share of connections, Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 8. Smartphones as a percentage of handsets, and LTE share of total connections (excluding M2M), Middle East and North Africa, 2016 and 2022
  • Figure 9. Mobile ARPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 10. Mobile service revenue and AEPU by technology, Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 11. Data traffic and revenue per megabyte, Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 12. Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Iran, 2012-2022
  • Figure 13. Mobile ARPU by type and overall mobile ARPU, Iran, 2012-2022
  • Figure 14. Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Iran
  • Figure 15. Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Kuwait, 2012-2022
  • Figure 16. Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, Kuwait, 2012-2022
  • Figure 17. Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Kuwait
  • Figure 18. Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Oman, 2012-2022
  • Figure 19. Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, Oman, 2012-2022
  • Figure 20. Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Oman
  • Figure 21. Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Qatar, 2012-2022
  • Figure 22. Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, Qatar, 2012-2022
  • Figure 23. Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Qatar
  • Figure 24. Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, Saudi Arabia, 2012-2022
  • Figure 25. Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, Saudi Arabia, 2012-2022
  • Figure 26. Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, Saudi Arabia
  • Figure 27. Mobile, smartphone and 4G/5G penetration rates, UAE, 2012-2022
  • Figure 28. Mobile ARPU by type, and mobile ARPU, UAE, 2012-2022
  • Figure 29. Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, UAE.
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