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中東・北アフリカにおける固定ブロードバンドサービス:動向・予測 2015-2020年

Fixed Broadband Services in the Middle East and North Africa: Trends and Forecasts 2015-2020

発行 Analysys Mason 商品コード 345105
出版日 ページ情報 英文 29 Slides
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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中東・北アフリカにおける固定ブロードバンドサービス:動向・予測 2015-2020年 Fixed Broadband Services in the Middle East and North Africa: Trends and Forecasts 2015-2020
出版日: 2015年11月13日 ページ情報: 英文 29 Slides
概要

MENA (中東・北アフリカ) 地域の固定通信市場は、それぞれ成熟度が異なる段階にありますが、収益は予測期間を通して地域レベルで増加する見込みです。次世代アクセス (NGA) ネットワークへの投資、4Gの幅広いサービス範囲、およびオペレーターによる統合型バンドル (コンバージドバンドル) を可能にする買収は、2020年まで固定市場を促進するでしょう。

当レポートでは、中東・北アフリカにおける固定ブロードバンドサービス市場について検証し、世界、地域および国別の市場動向分析を提供しています。

目次

エグゼクティブサマリー

世界の動向

  • 2020年までのMENAにおける小売り収益成長率は、EMAP、欧州、および北米を上回る見込み
  • FTTH/B接続数は4億2,500万件に増加し、総固定ブロードバンド接続数の44%を構成
  • 世帯普及率は、国民1人あたりのGDPの上昇およびネットワーク展開により、39%から48%へ上昇

地域の動向

  • MENA:固定小売り収益は世界の固定小売り市場の4%、およびMENAの小売り収益全体の31%を構成
  • MENA:ブロードバンド接続数は、ファイバーの導入に促進されて大きく増加する見通しだが、DSLは最大のシェアを維持する見込み
  • MENA:世帯普及率は、市場競争による促進および国家ブロードバンド計画に支えられ、上昇する見込み
  • MENA:MENAの通信サービス収益の約68%を構成する11の通信市場をモデルに
  • MENA:ブロードバンド・IPTV収益は、GCC諸国における展開に促進され、4.9%のCAGRで113億米ドルへと成長する見込み

国レベルの動向

  • オマーン:消費者需要および政府支援の展開計画がFTTHの普及を促進
  • カタール:DSLからファイバーベースのアクセスへの急速な技術転換がサービス普及を促進
  • サウジアラビア:オペレーターの展開計画が普及を促進し、ビジネスセグメントはASPUの低下を軽減
  • UAE:人口・経済成長は固定高速ブロードバンドサービスの需要を促進

予測手法・前提条件

著者・ANALYSYS MASONについて

図表リスト

目次

"The MENA region's fixed telecoms markets are at different stages of maturity, but revenue will increase at the regional level during the forecast period."

Investments in next-generation access (NGA) networks, wide coverage of 4G and mergers and acquisitions that enable operators to invest in converged bundles will all stimulate the fixed market through to 2020. The take-up of such bundles will reduce customer churn, increase the number of connections and may also increase ARPU from high-end users if offers include faster and better-quality services based on FTTH/B or VDSL technology, enabling additional value-added services such as pay TV.

This report provides:

  • commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
  • worldwide context, regional analysis and commentary on four countries: Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

Geographical coverage

Countries modelled individuallyDetailed country commentary

  • Algeria
  • Egypt
  • Iraq
  • Israel
  • Kuwait
  • Morocco
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Tunisia
  • United Arab Emirates

  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • United Arab Emirates

Data coverage

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Table of Contents

  • 5.Executive summary
  • 6.Executive summary
  • 7.Worldwide trends
  • 8.Worldwide: MENA's fixed retail revenue growth to 2020 will outpace that in EMAP, Europe and North America
  • 9.Worldwide: FTTH/B connections will increase to 425 million, accounting for 44% of total fixed broadband connections
  • 10.Worldwide: Household penetration will increase from 39% to 48% because of GDP per capita growth and network roll-out
  • 11.Regional trends
  • 12.MENA: Fixed retail revenue accounts for 4% of the fixed retail market worldwide and 31% of MENA's total retail revenue
  • 13.MENA: Broadband connections will significantly increase, driven by fibre adoption, but DSL will retain the largest share
  • 14.MENA: Household penetration will grow, driven by market competition and supported by national broadband plans
  • 15.MENA: We model eleven telecoms markets, which will account for about 68% of MENA's telecoms service revenue in 2020
  • 16.MENA: Broadband and IPTV revenue will grow at a CAGR of 4.9% to USD11.3 billion, driven by roll-outs in GCC countries
  • 17.Country-level trends
  • 18.Oman: Consumer demand and government-backed roll-out plans will boost FTTH take-up
  • 19.Qatar: Fast technological transformation from DSL to fibre-based access will drive service take-up
  • 20.Saudi Arabia: Operators' roll-out plans will drive take-up, and the business segment will help reduce ASPU erosion
  • 21.UAE: Population and economy growth will drive demand for fixed high-speed broadband services
  • 22.Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 23.We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
  • 24.Our forecasts are informed by primary and secondary research for data collection, a rigorous methodology and our analysis of external drivers
  • 25.A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
  • 26.About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 27.About the authors
  • 28.About Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 2: CAGRs for fixed and mobile retail revenue (2014-2020) and market size by total retail revenue (2020), by region, worldwide
  • Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, worldwide, 2010-2020
  • Figure 4: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, worldwide, 2010-2020
  • Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2014-2020
  • Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2014-2020
  • Figure 8: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 9: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation and fixed broadband household penetration, by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2020
  • Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, MENA
  • Figure 14: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Oman, 2014-2020
  • Figure 15: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Qatar, 2014-2020
  • Figure 16: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Saudi Arabia, 2014-2020
  • Figure 17: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, UAE, 2014-2020
  • Figure 18: Data, research principles and external factors that inform our forecasting methodology
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