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5G Worldwide Outlook: Standardisation Programmes and Technology Developments

発行 Analysys Mason 商品コード 316838
出版日 ページ情報 英文 PPT and PDF (49 slides)
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世界の5G展望:標準化プログラム・技術開発 5G Worldwide Outlook: Standardisation Programmes and Technology Developments
出版日: 2014年10月17日 ページ情報: 英文 PPT and PDF (49 slides)








著者およびAnalysys Mason について



Participants in the 5G market need to focus on the business case and models for implementing and monetising 5G technologies, not just the technology evolution/revolution.

The high expectations for 5G (for example, 1ms latency, 1000 times more capacity than 4G, 1Gbps, more than 350km-per-hour mobility) can easily obscure real business requirements and opportunities in the mobile industry. Operators need to be realistic about demand in their markets, their 4G investment plans and service opportunities. Regulation will be needed regarding the use of higher-frequency spectrum (for example, in the 6-30GHz bands) some of which may be lightly licensed, or managed with shared access.

This Report provides:

  • analysis of the potential impacts of 5G standards on the industry
  • an overview of the implications for regulators, mobile network operators (MNOs) and technology companies, such as network and device manufacturers
  • an examination of the major drivers and use cases for 5G
  • detailed case studies of 5G initiatives worldwide
  • analysis of some of the technologies that we expect to be deployed.

Company coverage

The following companies and organisations are mentioned in this Report.

  • 5G Forum
  • 5G PPP
  • Alcatel-Lucent
  • ARIB 2020 and Beyond AdHoc
  • Cisco Systems
  • Ericsson
  • Etisalat
  • Huawei Technologies
  • IMT-2020 (5G) Promotion Group
  • NGMN
  • Nokia Networks
  • NTT Docomo
  • Samsung
  • The Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China's 863 Program
  • ZTE

About the authors

Chris Nicoll (Practice Head) is the head of Analysys Mason's Network Technologies and Enterprise and M2M research practices. His primary areas of specialisation include wireless access technologies, wireless traffic forecasting, mobile infrastructure and operator strategy. Chris has more than 20 years of expertise as a leader in defining telecoms strategy. Prior to joining Analysys Mason, Chris held Principal Analyst positions at ACG Research and Nicoll Consulting, where he developed marketing strategy and positioning for leading telecoms operators. At Yankee Group, Chris was a member of the Yankee Group Research Council and provided thought leadership to the research organisation. At Lucent and Alcatel-Lucent, Chris was director of strategic marketing, overseeing the company's corporate positioning and messaging, including public affairs and analyst relations. Chris also led the Telecom Infrastructure team at Current Analysis, where he developed a global analyst team, as well as oversaw consulting engagements and managed client relationships. Chris has also held marketing and network engineering positions at Netrix, Tymnet and Visual Networks. Chris holds a BS in Communications with minors in Computer Science, Psychology and Marketing from Florida State University.

Nipun Jaiswal (Analyst) is based in Analysys Mason's Singapore office. He specialises in the Asia-Pacific telecoms, media and related technologies markets. He is an expert in tracking, analysing and forecasting telecoms market data, and in providing corporate strategy, competitive analysis, market insights and market intelligence. Prior to joining Analysys Mason, Nipun was an industry analyst in Frost & Sullivan's ICT research and growth consulting team for Asia-Pacific, based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Nipun has a strong technical background, having worked extensively on mobile network management solutions in the OSS domain for a Tier 1 telecoms equipment vendor based in Europe and India. Nipun holds an MBA in global business from the S P Jain School of Global Management (Singapore and Dubai) and a degree in Computer Engineering from Bharati Vidyapeeth University (India).

Table of Contents

  • 6. Executive summary and key implications
  • 7. Executive summary
  • 8. Key implications for mobile network operators (MNOs)
  • 9. Key implications for regulators
  • 10. Key implications for technology companies
  • 11. The impact of 5G on the telecoms industry
  • 12. 5G could be the most complex standardisation exercise that the telecoms industry has experienced
  • 13. Some 5G spectrum options could enable hyper-dense networks and deliver gigabit-speed wireless data services
  • 14. 5G spectrum access is likely to become more diverse and more dynamic, which could lead to security and performance challenges
  • 15. The development of new 5G radio access technologies would hinder backward compatibility
  • 16. 5G could bridge the divide between fixed and mobile network services
  • 17. 5G R&D is underway - established players are forming partnerships that may signal a new value chain
  • 18. The vision for 5G and the status of standardisation programmes
  • 19. Key to the 5G vision is that networks must be higher performing, and more virtualised and service-driven than today's networks
  • 20. The top-four drivers for 5G are the same as those for 4G: growth in mobile and fixed data traffic, M2M device connections and smartphone take-up
  • 21. The use cases for 5G are becoming increasingly understood, but basic questions are still being asked about what should be in the standard
  • 22. Standardisation bodies and industry alliance associations have begun their 5G initiatives
  • 23. ITU's Working Party 5 is co-ordinating the 5G standards effort, but major deliverables will not appear until mid-2015
  • 24. Early 5G specifications are expected to be introduced in 2015 in 3GPP Release 14, followed by further releases
  • 25. 5G development efforts worldwide
  • 26. Multiple stakeholders are influencing 5G development, including MNOs, governments, equipment vendors and research institutions
  • 27. Asia-Pacific and the European Union are leading efforts to define and develop 5G, but input from the Americas and Australia is missing
  • 28. The IMT-2020 (5G) Promotion Group and MOST's 863 Program are working together to propel China's leadership in 5G development
  • 29. South Korea's 5G Forum aims to commercialise 5G by 2020 and offer 1Gbps per user anytime anywhere
  • 30. Japan organises its 5G development activities through ARIB 2020 and Beyond AdHoc
  • 31. METIS 2020 intends to ensure that the EU leads the development of 5G as it works to build worldwide consensus
  • 32. 5G PPP in Horizon 2020 is a 50:50 public-private partnership project that aims to position the EU at the forefront of 5G development
  • 33. UK-based 5GIC is the world's first dedicated 5G centre, and aims to research and develop efficient 5G solutions
  • 34. Proposed key technologies
  • 35. The 5G vision will drive the need for a new radio access technology and possibly non-backward-compatible changes
  • 36. Massive MIMO systems could help operators achieve the capacity, throughput and efficiency targets required for 5G networks
  • 37. Information-centric networking can change how we think about mobile networking and vastly simplify the next-generation core
  • 38. Macro-assisted small cells could help networks address density challenges without increasing signalling loads
  • 39. Mesh 5G access networks could change how local data is handled by the wireless network and increase network scalability
  • 40. SCMA is a new waveform and signalling technology to increase throughput and number of simultaneous users supported in the RAN
  • 41. Dynamic TDD framing could achieve the 1ms latency goal while boosting throughput and network efficiency
  • 42. 5G radio development may create connections to deeper core network and cloud functions, driving high data rates and improved performance
  • 43. UF-OFDM improves spectrum utilisation and efficiency for short-burst communications
  • 44. About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 45. About the authors
  • 46. About Analysys Mason
  • 47. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 48. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Summary of network equipment vendors, mobile operators and industry bodies mentioned in this report
  • Figure 2: 5G spectrum band options
  • Figure 3: Three regulatory methods of managing spectrum
  • Figure 4: The potential evolution of the mobile value chain following the launch of 5G
  • Figure 5: Key drivers and requirements for 5G
  • Figure 6: Major market trends driving the need for 5G networks
  • Figure 7: 5G use case scenarios and potential services
  • Figure 8: Selected 5G standards bodies and industry associations
  • Figure 9: Timeline for the development of mobile technology standards, including tentative dates for 5G
  • Figure 10: 5G development stakeholders
  • Figure 11: 5G development initiatives by country and region
  • Figure 12: 5G capabilities and requirements as defined by the IMT-2020 (5G) Promotion Group
  • Figure 13: 5G capabilities and requirements as defined by the 5G Forum
  • Figure 14: 5G capabilities and requirements as defined by ARIB 2020 and Beyond AdHoc
  • Figure 15: 5G capabilities and requirements as defined by METIS 2020
  • Figure 16: 5G capabilities and requirements as defined by 5G PPP
  • Figure 17: 5GIC's management structure
  • Figure 18: Proposed solutions to 5G radio access technology challenges
  • Figure 19: Potential signal waveforms for a new radio access technology
  • Figure 20: Potential features and benefits of massive MIMO technology, and how they relate to 5G requirements
  • Figure 21: Cisco's information-centric networking model
  • Figure 22: Potential features and benefits of the macro-assisted small cell concept
  • Figure 23: Mesh RAN architecture proposal for 5G
  • Figure 24: Sparse code multiple access (SCMA)
  • Figure 25: Dynamic TDD framing proposed for sub-1ms interface
  • Figure 26: Ericsson's 5G architecture vision
  • Figure 27: A comparison of out-of-band power levels of OFDM and filtered waveforms
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