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市場調査レポート

NEM(ネットワーク機器メーカー)のネットワークマネジメントシステム:世界市場の予測

NEMs' Network Management Systems: Worldwide Forecast 2013-2017

発行 Analysys Mason 商品コード 241457
出版日 ページ情報 英文 PPT and PDF (51 pages)
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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NEM(ネットワーク機器メーカー)のネットワークマネジメントシステム:世界市場の予測 NEMs' Network Management Systems: Worldwide Forecast 2013-2017
出版日: 2013年06月28日 ページ情報: 英文 PPT and PDF (51 pages)
概要

世界のネットワークマネジメントシステム(NMS)市場は、2012年に45億米ドルとなりました。同市場は今後CAGR5.8%で成長し、2017年に59億米ドルに達すると予測されています。

当レポートでは、世界のネットワークマネジメントシステム(NMS)市場について調査し、4つの通信サービスセグメント(モバイル、PSTN、ビジネスおよび住宅用ブロードバンド)および4つの地域別(アジア太平洋地域、欧州・中東・アフリカ、ラテンアメリカ、北米)による5ヵ年の市場予測、今後5年間の市場促進因子・阻害因子、市場に影響を及ぼす技術とサービス、トラフィック量に関するデータ、エンドユーザーの態度とその市場への影響などを分析しており、概略下記の構成でお届けいたします。

目次

エグゼクティブサマリー

  • 世界のNMS予測:非常に成熟したOSS市場では、新技術が成長を促進すると同時に抑制もする
  • マクロ動向:MEA(中東・アフリカ)では未開発地域の導入が新興しているが、ほとんどのICT支出は依然として中国、日本、西欧および米国のまま
  • 固定・モバイルブロードバンド技術・サービスはモバイル、ビジネスサービスおよび住宅用ブロードバンドNMSにおける市場成長を促進する見込み
  • LTEインフラ、スモールセル導入および西欧のCSPによるFTTxによって、EMEAにおける成長は回復する見込み

提言

  • NEMへの提言
  • CSPへの提言

予測

  • HetNets (LTE・スモールセル導入)はモバイルNMS市場における継続成長の主要促進因子となる見込み
  • 西欧で多くのCSPがLTEを開始するためEMEAでは成長が戻る一方、APAC(アジア太平洋地域)への投資は減少
  • CSPが豊富な既存容量を最大限に利用するため、ビジネスサービスNMSは2015年まで減速する見込み
  • APACはビジネスサービス支出でで短期的減少を記録する一方、CSPは余剰容量を消費する見込み
  • ビデオ、新しいデジタルサービスおよびHetnetは住宅用ブロードバンドNMSの主要な市場促進因子となる一方、NBN投資は減速する見込み
  • 光NGA投資は引き続き新興市場・成熟市場における住宅用ブロードバンドNMSにおける全体的な成長を促進する見込み
  • CSPはさらに支出を削減するためほとんどのメンテナンスを社内で行っているため、PSTN NMS のメンテナンス支出は横ばいとなっている
  • LATAMは引き続きPSTN NMS支出の減少が最も遅くなる見込み

市場の促進因子・阻害因子

事業環境

  • 事業環境
  • 事業環境:地域別
  • モバイルが優勢となり、2017年までにデータサービスが総通信小売り収益の半分を生成するようになるため、固定サービス小売り収益は減少している
  • 2017年までに、世界のアクティブモバイル接続数は84億となり、人口普及率は113%となる見込み(2012年は86%)
  • 世界のモバイルトラフィックは2012年から2017年間にCAGR40.8%で成長する予測
  • スマートフォンユーザーのチャーンは、端末の可用性よりもネットワーク性能に影響される
  • 「サポート」プロセスはコールセンターとオペレーションにフォーカスを置く、ほか

市場定義

著者・Analysys Masonについて

図表

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目次

Abstract

CEM solutions are unlocking the potential of network management system data, but new fixed and mobile technology roll-outs continue to be the main growth driver.

image1

The worldwide network management systems (NMS) market is forecast to grow from USD4.5 billion in revenue in 2012 to USD5.9 billion in 2017, at a 5.8% CAGR. The NMS market is linked to equipment sales, and we expect LTE, small-cell and FTTx roll-outs to increase during the forecast period, leading to heterogeneous network (HetNet) environments.


This Report provides:

  • a detailed worldwide forecast for spending on NMS, split into:
    • four telecoms services (mobile, PSTN, business and residential broadband)
    • four geographical regions (see below).
  • a summary of the key trends and factors impacting the NMS market between 2012 and 2017
  • an examination of the key market drivers and inhibitors for the NMS market during the next 5 years
  • recommendations for communications service providers (CSPs) and network equipment manufacturers (NEMs)
  • insight into the impact of emerging technologies and opportunities - such as LTE, SON, NFV, SDN, CEM, M2M and new digital economy services - on the NMS market
  • an examination of end-user behaviour as it relates to this market.

Geographical coverage

Forecasts are split into the following four regions:

  • Asia-Pacific (APAC)
  • Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA)
  • Latin America (LATAM)
  • North America (NA).

Table of Contents

  • 5.Executive summary
  • 6.Worldwide NMS forecast, 2013-2017: new technologies will inject growth into, as well as limit growth in, this very mature OSS market
  • 7.Macro trends in 2012: Greenfield deployments are underway in MEA, but most ICT spend remained in China, Japan, Western Europe and the USA
  • 8.Fixed and mobile broadband technologies and services will drive market growth in mobile, business services and residential broadband NMS
  • 9.Growth will pick up in EMEA because of investments in LTE infrastructure, small-cell deployments and FTTx by CSPs in Western Europe
  • 10.Recommendations
  • 11.Recommendations for CSPs
  • 12.Recommendations for NEMs
  • 13.Forecast
  • 14.HetNets (LTE and small-cell deployments) will be the main driver for continued growth in the mobile NMS market
  • 15.Growth will return to EMEA as more CSPs in Western Europe launch LTE, while investment in developed APAC will decline
  • 16.Business services NMS growth will be slow until 2015, as CSPs make use of their abundant existing capacity
  • 17.APAC will register a short-term decline in business services spend while CSPs consume their surplus capacity
  • 18.Video, new digital services and HetNets will be the key market drivers for residential broadband NMS, while NBN investments decelerate
  • 19.Optical NGA investments continue to drive the overall growth in residential broadband NMS in emerging and mature markets
  • 20.PSTN NMS maintenance spend is plateauing because CSPs are doing most of the maintenance in-house to reduce spending even further
  • 21.LATAM will continue to have the slowest decline in PSTN NMS spending
  • 22.Market drivers and inhibitors
  • 23.Market drivers and inhibitors
  • 24.NMS market drivers [1]
  • 25.NMS market drivers [2]
  • 26.NMS market drivers [3]
  • 27.NMS market inhibitors [1]
  • 28.NMS market inhibitors [2]
  • 29.Business environment
  • 30.The business environment in 2012
  • 31.The business environment by region in 2012
  • 32.Fixed service retail revenue is declining as mobile gains ground, and data services will generate half of total telecoms retail revenue by 2017
  • 33.By 2017, there will be 8.4 billion active mobile connections worldwide, equivalent to 113% population penetration, compared with 86% in 2012
  • 34.Mobile traffic is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 40.8% worldwide during 2012-2017
  • 35.FTTx investments will be flat in developed APAC until 2014, and will decline in NA from 2015
  • 36.Smartphone users' churn is more-influenced by network performance than handset availability
  • 37.The 'support' process focuses on call centres and operations1
  • 38.Market definition
  • 39.Telecoms software market segmentation
  • 40.Infrastructure solution categories
  • 41.NMS overview
  • 42.NMS segment, sub-segment and revenue type definitions
  • 43.Definition of geographical regions
  • 44.Key business drivers and market characteristics and how they map to different operational and software strategies
  • 45.Our comprehensive forecast model is supported by a sound knowledge of markets
  • 46.About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 47.About the authors
  • 48.About Analysys Mason
  • 49.Research from Analysys Mason
  • 50.Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: NMS revenue, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 2: Top ICT spenders and growth, 2012
  • Figure 3: Highest ICT spending growth, 2003-2012
  • Figure 4: NMS revenue by telecoms service, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 5: NMS revenue by region, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 6: Mobile NMS revenue, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 7: Mobile NMS revenue by region, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 8: Business services NMS revenue, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 9: Business services NMS revenue by region, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 10: Residential broadband NMS revenue, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 11: Residential broadband NMS revenue by region, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 12: PSTN NMS revenue, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 13: PSTN NMS revenue by region, worldwide, 2012-2017
  • Figure 14a-c: Network management systems market drivers
  • Figure 15a-b: Network management systems market inhibitors
  • Figure 16: Telecoms retail revenue by service, worldwide, 2008-2017
  • Figure 17: Active mobile SIMs by region and worldwide mobile penetration, 2008-2017
  • Figure 18: Mobile data traffic, developed and emerging markets, 2011-2017
  • Figure 19: Mobile data traffic growth multiples, by region, 2012-2017
  • Figure 20: FTTx capex by region, developed markets, to 2018
  • Figure 21: FTTx capex by region, developed markets, 2010-2018
  • Figure 22: Key factors other than price that drive respondents to want to change mobile network provider in the next 6 months, by device type
  • Figure 23: Call centre and operational deployment scenario
  • Figure 24: Telecoms software market segments
  • Figure 25: Infrastructure solution categories
  • Figure 26: Interfaces supported by NMS
  • Figure 27: Definitions of NMS and its sub-segments
  • Figure 28: NMS revenue type definitions
  • Figure 29: Regional breakdown used in this report
  • Figure 30: Mapping of key business drivers and market characteristics according to business environment, and operational and software strategies
  • Figure 31: Key factors influencing forecast assumptions
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