英国のケアホーム建設市場の分析

当レポートでは、英国の長期介護ケアホーム産業と関連施設の状況について調査し、国内の経済・社会的環境、産業構造、施設数・入居者数などの推移、資金源、施設の需給バランス、特別介護つき住宅部門の動向、事業者区分 (民間・自治体・非営利) 別の動向、建設生産高の動向、建設プログラム、投資計画などの動向についてまとめています。

第1章 イントロダクション

第2章 サマリー・将来の展望

第3章 経済環境

• GDP
• インフレ率・金利
• 失業者数
• 世帯消費
• 住宅供給・建設
• 英貨
• 人口プロファイル
• 総論

第4章 英国の長期介護産業

• 産業の定義
• 産業の概要・意義
  • 展望
• 産業の規模・構造
  • 高齢者向け長期介護
• 介護産業における需要と供給
  • ケアホームの将来的需要
  • 地域によるケアホームの分布状況
  • 今後の需要促進要因
• 特別介護付き住宅 (Extra Care Housing) 部門
  • 概要
  • 特別介護の発展
  • 特別介護付き住宅への資金供給
  • 特別介護付き住宅のプランニングにおける課題
• 長期介護部門への資金供給
  • ソーシャルケア支出
• 独立系事業者による長期介護部門
  • 市場規模
  • 主要事業者
• 地方自治体・非営利団体による介護部門
  • 概要・市場規模
  • 構造・規模
  • 主要事業者

第5章 建設市場の概況

• 建設部門生産高
• 建設部門生産高の予測：産業別
• 医療産業における建設部門生産高
• 民間医療投資
• ケアホームの建設プログラム・投資額
• 主要独立系プロバイダーの建設プログラム・拡張計画

第6章 長期介護部門における建設能力と供給

• 長期介護部門の代表的な建設・開発業者
  • Bouygues
  • Building Construction Partnership (BCP)
  • Castlemead
  • Castleoak
  • Galliford Try
  • Keepmoat
  • LNT Construction
  • Stepnell
  • Wates
  • Willmott Dixon
  • その他

図表一覧

TABLES AND CHARTS

• CHART 1: NURSING & RESIDENTIAL CARE HOMES/BED-SPACES BY TYPE OF PROVIDER IN 2019 (%) 10
• CHART 2: GDP DATA - 2015-2019 - KEY CONSTITUENT ELEMENTS 15
• CHART 3: CPI INFLATION AND BANK OF ENGLAND BASE RATE, 2008-2023 16
• CHART 4: AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS DATA - GB - TOTAL PAY - 2014-2019 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 17
• CHART 5: PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 2008-2023 18
• CHART 6: EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 2015-2021 - STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES 19
• CHART 7: OUTPUT - NON-RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION BY SECTOR (GB) 2014 TO 2023 - BY VALUE (£BILLION AT CURRENT PRICES) 20
• CHART 8: CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT BY SECTOR 2018 21
• TABLE 9: CONTRACTOR'S OUTPUT IN THE HEALTHCARE SECTOR (PUBLIC & PRIVATE) 2009-2018 (£M) 22
• CHART 10: HEALTHCARE CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT 2014 - 2023: BY VALUE (£M AT CURRENT PRICES) 23
• TABLE 11: HEALTHCARE RMI MARKET 2014-2023 (£M) 25
• CHART 12: CARE HOME PLANNING APPLICATIONS BY NUMBER AND VALUE (£M): Q1 2017 - Q1 2019 28
• CHART 13: CARE HOME PLANNING APPLICATIONS YEAR TO APRIL 2019 BY REGION 29
• CHART 14: CARE HOME CONTRACT AWARDS Q1 2017 - Q1 2019 BY VALUE (£M) AND NUMBER OF CONTRACTS (PROJECTS >£1M) 29
• TABLE 15: CARE HOMES - CONTRACTS AWARDED BY REGION; VALUE AND NO. BED-SPACES: (PROJECTS > £1M) (YEAR TO APRIL 2019) 30
• CHART 16: VALUE OF THE UK CARE HOME DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY REGION (%) 31
• CHART 17: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY REGION: BY NUMBER OF BED-SPACES 32
• TABLE 18: EAST MIDLANDS: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 33
• TABLE 19: EAST ENGLAND: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 34
• TABLE 20: NORTH EAST: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 35
• TABLE 21: NORTH WEST: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 35
• TABLE 22: SOUTH EAST: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 36
• TABLE 23: SOUTH WEST: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 37
• TABLE 24: WEST MIDLANDS: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 38
• TABLE 25: YORKSHIRE & HUMBER: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 39
• TABLE 26: SCOTLAND: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 40
• TABLE 27: WALES: CARE HOME CONTRACTS IN THE PIPELINE 2019-2023 BY COUNTY (BY VALUE OF PROJECTS AND NUMBER OF BED-SPACES) 41
• TABLE 28: LEADING PUBLIC AND PRIVATE PROVIDERS OF LONG-TERM CARE BY NUMBER OF PIPELINE HOMES AND BED-SPACES TO 2021-22 42
• CHART 29: UK CARE HOMES MARKET - SECTOR REVENUE (INDEPENDENT/PUBLIC SECTOR) BY % SHARE 2018 43
• TABLE 30: UK LONG-TERM CARE MARKET BY OWNERSHIP TYPE - NUMBER OF CARE HOMES/BED SPACE 2017 AND 2019 46
• CHART 31: NUMBER OF CARE HOME RESIDENTS 2009 - 2019 ('000) 47
• CHART 32: FUTURE DEMAND FOR CARE HOME PLACES - EXPECTED DEMAND VS. CURRENT ANNUAL SUPPLY: 2019-2030 48
• CHART 33: NUMBER OF CARE HOMES (ALL TYPES) IN THE UK BY REGION 2019 49
• CHART 34: NUMBER OF BED-SPACES IN CARE HOMES (ALL TYPES) IN THE UK BY REGION 2019 49
• CHART 35: PROJECTED INCREASE IN UK POPULATION IN AGE GROUPS (65-74; 75-84; 85+) 2016 - 2081 51
• CHART 36: EXTRA CARE/HOUSING WITH CARE MARKET: NO. UNITS 2008-2018 ('000) 53
• TABLE 37: EXTRA CARE HOUSING - LEADING PROVIDERS BY NO. UNITS 2018-19 54
• TABLE 38: HCA CARE AND SUPPORT SPECIALISED HOUSING FUND (CASSHF) 2018-21: SUCCESSFUL ALLOCATIONS BY REGION 55
• CHART 39: PRIVATE LONG-TERM ADULT CARE MARKET BY VALUE 2013-2023 (£BN) 56
• TABLE 40: LEADING 20 PRIVATE PROVIDERS OF LONG-TERM* CARE BY NUMBER OF HOMES AND BED-SPACES 2018-19 58
• CHART 41: NURSING & RESIDENTIAL CARE HOMES BY OWNERSHIP TYPE (%): 1990-2019 63
• TABLE 42: LEADING 20 VOLUNTARY SECTOR PROVIDERS OF LONG-TERM* CARE BY NUMBER OF HOMES AND BED-SPACES 2019 64
• CHART 43: INDEPENDENT CARE HOME STOCK BY AGE OF BUILDING 2019 68
• CHART 44: CARE HOME OPERATING COSTS AS A % OF TOTAL REVENUE 2019 69
• TABLE 45: DESIGN CHANGES IN NEW BUILD CARE HOMES 70
• TABLE 46: TOP 25 CONTRACTORS & DEVELOPERS IN THE CARE HOMES SECTOR - BY NUMBER, VALUE (£M) AND SIZE OF CONTRACTS AWARDED MAY 2017 - APRIL 2019 73

The 5th edition of the 'Care Homes Construction Market Report - UK 2019-2023' will be of particular interest to care providers in the private and local authority sectors and construction / service companies involved in the long-term care sector.

• 1.1. INTRODUCTION 8
• 1.1 BACKGROUND 8
• 1.2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION 8

2. SUMMARY AND MARKET PROSPECTS 10

• 2.1 SUMMARY 10
• 2.2 MARKET PROSPECTS 12

3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 14

• 3.1 OVERVIEW AND OUTLOOK 14
• 3.2 KEY DATA 15
• 3.2.1 GDP 15
• 3.2.2 Inflation & Interest Rates 15
• 3.2.3 Employment & Wages 16
• 3.2.4 Household Consumption 17
• 3.2.5 Sterling 18

4. CARE HOME & HEALTHCARE CONSTRUCTION MARKET 20

• 4.1 OVERALL CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT 20
• 4.1.1 Total Construction Output to 2023 20
• 4.2 CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT IN THE HEALTHCARE SECTOR 22
• 4.2.1 Outlook for Healthcare Construction Work to 2023 22
• 4.2.2 RMI in the Healthcare Sector 24
• 4.4 BUILDING PROGRAMMES AND INVESTMENT IN THE CARE HOMES SECTOR 25
• 4.5 CARE HOME DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE 27
• 4.5.1 Planning Applications 27
• 4.5.2 Care Home Construction Contracts 29
• 4.5.3 Care Home Planning Pipeline 30
• 4.6 REGIONAL CARE HOME DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE ANALYSIS 31
• 4.6.1 Development Hotspots 32
• 4.6.2 East Midlands 33
• 4.6.3 East England 33
• 4.6.4 North East 34
• 4.6.5 North West 35
• 4.6.6 South East 36
• 4.6.7 South West 37
• 4.6.8 West Midlands 38
• 4.6.9 Yorkshire & Humber 39
• 4.6.10 Scotland 39
• 4.6.11 Wales 40
• 4.7 BUILDING PROGRAMMES OF LEADING CARE PROVIDERS 41
• 4.7.1 Market Activity 41

5. THE LONG-TERM CARE SECTOR IN THE UK 43

• 5.1 SECTOR DEFINITION 43
• 5.2 SECTOR OVERVIEW AND VALUE 43
• 5.2.1 Outlook for the Sector 44
• 5.3 SECTOR SIZE AND STRUCTURE 45
• 5.3.1 Long-term Care for the Elderly 46
• 5.4 SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN THE CARE SECTOR 47
• 5.4.1 UK Provision 47
• 5.4.2 Regional Provision of Care Homes 48
• 5.4.3 Future Drivers of Demand 50
• 5.4.4 Influences and Drivers of Demand 51
• 5.4.5 Care Costs 51
• 5.5 THE 'EXTRA CARE' HOUSING SECTOR 52
• 5.5.1 Overview 52
• 5.5.2 Funding and Design for Extra Care Housing 54
• 5.6 THE INDEPENDENT LONG-TERM CARE SECTOR 55
• 5.6.1 Sector Value and Size 55
• 5.6.2 Leading Independent Care Providers 56
• 5.6.3 Private Care Home Financing and Investment Funds 61
• 5.7 THE LOCAL AUTHORITY/VOLUNTARY CARE SECTOR 63
• 5.7.1 Structure and Size 63
• 5.7.2 Leading Voluntary Care Providers 63
• 5.8 FUNDING FOR THE LONG-TERM CARE SECTOR 66
• 5.8.1 Social Care Spending 66

6. CARE HOME STOCK AND CONSTRUCTION ISSUES IN THE LONG-TERM CARE SECTOR 68

• 6.1.1 Age & Condition of Care Home Stock in the UK 68
• 6.1.2 Care Home Costs 68
• 6.1.3 Care Home Size and Categories 69
• 6.1.4 Care Home Design Considerations 71

7. CONSTRUCTION MARKET SUPPLY LONG-TERM CARE SECTOR 73

• 7.1 LEADING CONTRACTORS & DEVELOPERS IN THE CARE HOMES SECTOR 73
• 7.1.1 Top Contractors by Care Home Awards 73
• 7.1.2 Leading Contractor Profiles 75
• 7.1.3 Other Company Profiles 80