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市場調査レポート
クリーン火力発電の未来:技術開発、主要コスト、将来展望
The Future of Clean Thermal Technologies: Technology developments, key costs and the future outlook
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Abstract
Thermal power plants burning fossil fuel account for over 50% of the
electricity generated across the globe. Coal is the most popular fuel followed
by natural gas and the power stations burning these fuels are the principle
base load plants in many parts of the world. Unfortunately these power plants
are also a major source of carbon dioxide emissions into the atmosphere,
emissions which are now generally considered responsible for global warming.
New, advanced coal-fired technologies are being developed that aim to have
zero-emission carbon emissions. These techniques may have potential both for
the construction of new coal-fired power stations with zero emissions and for
retrofitting to older existing power plants to convert them into zero emission
plants.
Table of Contents
Executive summary
- Introduction
- Conventional coal-burning technologies
- Advanced and zero-emission coal burning technologies
- Gas burning power generation technologies
- Carbon sequestration
- Environmental and legislative issues
- The economics of clean thermal technologies
- The future of clean thermal technologies
Chapter 1 - Introduction
- Summary
- The power sector and global warming
- The report
Chapter 2 - Conventional coal burning technologies
- Introduction
- Coal-fired power generation
- Pulverized coal power plants
- Fluidized bed power plants
- Emission control
- Dust and particulate material
- Sulfur dioxide
- Mercury
- Nitrogen oxides
- CO2
- Emission limits
Chapter 3 - Advanced and zero emission coal burning technologies
- Introduction
- Pre-combustion capture
- Integrated gasification combined cycle
- Oxyfuel combustion
- Retrofitting and capture ready plants
- Effects of carbon capture on plant performance
Chapter 4 - Gas burning power generation technologies
- Generating power from natural gas
- Gas-fired boilers
- Gas reciprocating engines
- Gas turbines
- Combined cycle power plants
- Advanced gas turbine cycles
- Micro turbines
- Fuel cells
- Gas turbine emission control
- Carbon monoxide
- Unburned hydrocarbons
- Particulate material
- Sulfur dioxide and sulfur trioxide
- Nitrogen oxides
- Carbon capture
Chapter 5 - Carbon sequestration
- Introduction
- The size of the problem
- CO2 transportation
- Carbon sequestration
- Geological sequestration
- Ocean sequestration
- Risks
- Monitoring and legislative issues
Chapter 6 - Environmental and legislative issues
- Introduction
- Emissions and emission limits
- Carbon emissions
- Cap-and-trade systems
- Monitoring
- Legislative issues associated with carbon sequestration
Chapter 7 - Future outlook
- Introduction
- Capital costs of thermal power plants
- The levelized cost of electricity
- The cost of carbon
Chapter 8 - The prospects for clean thermal technologies
- Introduction
- The growth in fossil fuel for power generation
- The competitiveness of thermal power generation
- Market opportunities
- Index
List of Figures
- Figure 1.1: CO2 emissions by sector (GtCO2/y), 2005 and 2030
- Figure 2.2: Coal-fired power generation in the OECD and non-OECD (TWh),
2006-2030
- Figure 3.3: Efficiency of coal-fired plants with carbon capture (%)
- Figure 4.4: Global power generation base on natural gas (TWh), 2006-2030
- Figure 4.5: Gas-fired power plant efficiencies (%)
- Figure 4.6: Typical gas turbine pollutant emissions (ppmV)
- Figure 5.7: National power plant CO2 intensity (kgCO2/MWh)
- Figure 5.8: Cost of transportation of CO2 by pipeline and sea ($/tCO2)
- Figure 5.9: Potential global underground storage capacities (Gt CO2)
- Figure 6.10: World Bank guidelines for emissions from power plants
- Figure 6.11: Acid gas emissions in the CAIR region of the US (million
tonnes), 1990-2030
- Figure 7.12: Installed cost of thermal power generating capacity in the US
(2007 $/kW)
- Figure 7.13: Lazard capital cost comparison for thermal power generating
capacity ($/kW)
- Figure 7.14: Capital cost of adding flue gas cleanup to US coal-fired
power plants ($/kW)
- Figure 7.15: The predicted cost of a carbon capture and storage
demonstration project in China (€ m)
- Figure 7.16: Levelized cost of electricity for new capacity entering
service in the US in 2016 ($/MWh)
- Figure 7.17: Levelized cost in Nominal 2009$ of electricity from thermal
power plants in California entering service in 2009 ($/MWh)
- Figure 7.18: Levelized cost in Nominal 2018$ of electricity from thermal
power plants in California entering service in 2018 ($/MWh)
- Figure 7.19: Levelized cost of electricity from coal-fired power plants in
the UK (£/MWh)
- Figure 8.20: Proportion of global electricity generated by thermal power
plants (%), 2006-2030
- Figure 8.21: Global power generation based on coal and natural gas (TWh),
2006-2030
- Figure 8.22: Global coal-fired generating capacity (GW), 2006-2030
- Figure 8.23: Global natural gas-fired generating capacity (GW), 2006-2030
- Figure 8.24: Global power generation growth to 2030 under the IEA' s 450
scenario (GW)
- Figure 8.25: Levelized cost comparison between thermal, nuclear and
alternative technologies entering service in 2016 ($/MWh)
- Figure 8.26: Levelized cost comparison for generating capacity in
California ($/MWh)
- Figure 8.27: Key thermal power plant and emission control market drivers
and resistors
List of Tables
- Table 1.1: CO2 emissions by sector (GtCO2/y), 2005 and 2030
- Table 2.2: Coal-fired power generation in the OECD and non-OECD (TWh),
2006-2030
- Table 2.3: Typical pulverized coal fired power plant operating conditions
and efficiency
- Table 2.4: Comparison of wet and dry FGD
- Table 3.5: Efficiency of coal-fired plants with carbon capture (%)
- Table 4.6: Global power generation base on natural gas (TWh), 2006-2030
- Table 4.7: Gas-fired power plant efficiencies (%)
- Table 4.8: Typical gas turbine pollutant emissions (ppmV)
- Table 5.9: National power plant CO2 emissions from ten largest emitters
- Table 5.10: Cost of transportation of CO2 by pipeline and sea ($/tCO2)
- Table 5.11: Potential global underground storage capacities (Gt CO2)
- Table 6.12: Typical daily production from a 500MW coal-fired power plant
- Table 6.13: Acid gas emissions in the CAIR region of the US (million
tonnes), 1990-2030
- Table 6.14: EU guidelines for power plant emissions
- Table 7.15: Installed cost of thermal power generating capacity in the US
(2007 $/kW)
- Table 7.16: Lazard capital cost comparison for thermal power generating
capacity ($/kW)
- Table 7.17: Capital cost of adding flue gas cleanup to US coal-fired power
plants ($/kW)
- Table 7.18: The predicted cost of a carbon capture and storage
demonstration project in China (€ m)
- Table 7.19: Levelized cost of electricity for new capacity entering
service in the US in 2016 ($/MWh)
- Table 7.20: Levelized cost in Nominal 2009$ of electricity from thermal
power plants in California entering service in 2009 ($/MWh)
- Table 7.21: Levelized cost in Nominal 2018$ of electricity from thermal
power plants in California entering service in 2018 ($/MWh)
- Table 7.22: Levelized cost of electricity from coal-fired power plants in
the UK (£/MWh)
- Table 8.23: Proportion of global electricity generated by thermal power
plants (%), 2006-2030
- Table 8.24: Global power generation based on coal and natural gas (TWh),
2006-2030
- Table 8.25: Global coal-fired generating capacity (GW), 2006-2030
- Table 8.26: Global natural gas-fired generating capacity (GW), 2006-2030
- Table 8.27: Global power generation growth to 2030 under the IEA' s 450
scenario (GW)
- Table 8.28: Levelized cost comparison between thermal, nuclear and
alternative technologies entering service in 2016 ($/MWh)
- Table 8.29: Levelized cost comparison for generating capacity in
California ($/MWh)
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