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市場調査レポート - 234991

世界の小型電動車両(LEV)業界:2012年〜2022年

Light Electric Vehicles 2012-2022: Forecasts, Players, Opportunities

発行 IDTechEx Ltd.
出版日 ページ情報 英文 220 Pages
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こちらの商品の販売は終了いたしました。
世界の小型電動車両(LEV)業界:2012年〜2022年 Light Electric Vehicles 2012-2022: Forecasts, Players, Opportunities
出版日: 2013年03月01日 ページ情報: 英文 220 Pages

当商品の販売は、2013年06月22日を持ちまして終了しました。

概要

小型電動車両(LEV)とは、バッテリーや燃料電池などのエネルギー貯蔵デバイスを使って電気モーターを駆動するタイプの地上走行車両であり、車輪の数は2つまたは3つ、重量は100kg以下となっています。LEVの中心は、スロットルで速度を制御するスクータータイプのイーバイク(パワーオンデマンドバイク)であり、今後もこの状況は変わらないと思われます。近年イーバイクの市場は急成長を遂げつつあり、2025年の年間販売台数は1億3,000万台に達する見通しです。現在LEV業界を支配しているのは、強力な流通チャネルを有する大手の自転車メーカーですが、今後は、自動車やオートバイ、自動車部品メーカーなどとの厳しい競争に直面する可能性もあります。LEV関連部品のサプライチェーンの中心はアジアにあり、中国、台湾、日本に加え、韓国もその存在感を強めつつあります。

当レポートは、世界のLEV市場を取り上げ、70以上のブランドの販売台数、車両価格、総売上を201年から2021年まで展望するとともに、LEV市場の成長を阻害する数々のマイナス要因も分析したもので、あわせて大型電動バイクや身体障害者用の移動機器などの隣接市場も取り上げるなど、概略以下の構成でお届けいたします。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリーと結論

  • 2025年までの世界市場におけるLEV販売台数予測
  • 価格
  • 市場規模の予測
  • 成長予測の根拠
    • 競争と収益性
    • ビジネスチャンス
    • 一般的な要件

第2章 イントロダクション

  • LEVの定義
  • LEV業界
    • 台湾と中国
    • 他の国々
    • 過度のコスト削減

第3章 LEVに求められる条件

  • 求められる品質
  • 販売価格

第4章 LEVの種類と規制

  • 電動自転車とは
    • 電動アシスト自転車
    • パワーオンデマンドバイクなどのカテゴリー
    • 身体障害者などを対象とした電動移動体
    • 出力制限
    • 主な規制
  • イーバイクに関する一般的な技術用語

第5章 身体障害者向け電動移動体 - 最も切実で永続的なニーズのある部門

  • 人口統計学上の時限爆弾
    • 人口の高齢化と扶養高齢者
  • 移動体の種類
    • 新しい市場区分別の成長
    • Interchina Industry Group:中国
  • 市場発展因子
    • 地域分布
    • ニーズが創造する新セグメント
    • 何が地域格差を生んでいるのか
    • Zhejiang R&P Industry:中国
    • Pride Mobility:米国
  • メーカーのリスト
  • 市場予測:2012年〜2022年

第6章 LEVの技術

  • バッテリー技術:現在多くのLEVで使用されているパックレベルの技術
    • SVRLAの強みと弱み
    • バッテリーパッケージ
    • 中国製バッテリーパック
    • 電源管理とユーザーインタフェース
    • 電気モーターのコントローラー
    • モーター制御
    • 付属部品の機能
    • 中国のコイン式充電装置
    • エネルギーハーベスティング
    • ユーザーインタフェース
    • リアルタイムデータログ/レポート作成
    • インフラ面の課題と政府の奨励策
  • 主なバッテリーサプライヤー
    • Advanced Battery Technologies(ABAT):中国
    • Leyden Energy:米国
    • PowerGenix:米国
    • ReVolt Technologies Ltd:スイス
    • 東芝:日本

第7章 LEVの標準と部品産業の動向

  • 標準化の取り組み
  • 部品産業の動向
  • LEV用電気モーター業界
  • コントローラー業界
  • ワイヤーハーネスとコネクター

第8章 LEV市場:市場の成長促進要因と予測

  • 地域別市場
    • 中国
    • 日本
    • インド
    • 欧州
    • 米国
    • 世界全体
  • プロバイダー別の市場
  • イーバイクをすでに製品化または間もなく製品化する自転車ブランド
    • 米国
    • 欧州
    • オランダ
  • 流通チャネル
  • 市場予測と成長促進要因
  • 市場の成長促進要因
    • 燃料価格
    • 燃料の供給状況
    • 燃費
    • 政府の奨励策
    • 交通渋滞
    • 駐車場の混雑
    • 都市化
    • 大気汚染
    • 政府の規制
    • 個人の責任
    • 総保有コスト
    • 高齢化
    • 共同住宅居住者の増加
    • マイナス要因
    • マレーシアなどでの禁止措置

付録

図表

目次

Abstract

“Sales will reach 130 million yearly before 2025, make it one of the world's largest industries”

Description

Primary author Edward Benjamin, eCycleElectric Consultants, and Dr Peter Harrop

Written by the world's leading expert on LEVs, with the longest track record, this LEV report looks closely at global trends in their technology, manufacture and market drivers such as legislation. IDTechEx has added forecasts and other material. The analysis is balanced, with negative factors exposed such as several Chinese cities banning or severely restricting LEVs. The LEV industry is growing fast, with greatest strength in China today, but also clearly emerging fast in the rest of the world. Up until the last couple of years, ebike sales were concentrated in China, Japan, and the EU. In the last few years, nearly every nation has bought ebikes from China, and in some cases, the volumes are now significant. Sales will reach 130 million yearly before 2025, make it one of the world's largest industries. The 236 page report encompassing over 70 brands gives forecasts of sales numbers, unit prices and total market value for 2012-2022. 13 market drivers are balanced against many negative factors that are discussed in the report, which has 69 figures and tables and detail on standards and legislation.

LEVs are one of the largest and fastest growing electric vehicle markets. A Light Electric Vehicle LEV is a land vehicle propelled by an electric motor that uses an energy storage device such as a battery or fuel cell, has two or three wheels, and typically weighs less than 100kg. Most LEVs are and will remain ebikes. These are Power on Demand bikes controlled with a throttle. A significant percentage of ebikes sold are scooters in that they have the driver's feet rest on a platform - they are not straddled by the driver.

Today, the LEV industry is dominated by large bicycle companies, due to their access to distribution. We explain why, in the future, these companies will face major competition from, and may be pushed aside by car, motorcycle, and car parts companies. Supply chains for motors, batteries, chassis parts, and nearly every LEV component exist in Asia, primarily in China, Taiwan, Japan, and newly emerging South Korea. We reveal where the highest profits will be obtained in future and the opportunities in components as these change with lithium-ion batteries of several generations and supercapacitors being increasingly employed, for example. The more demanding future technical requirements of users and standards are investigated.

Adjoining sectors are also discussed such as heavy electric motorcycles and the bigger sector of mobility vehicles for the disabled, where ten year forecasts are presented. New crossover vehicles between LEVs and these sectors are presented.

Market Forecasts from IDTechEx

This report includes forecasts for LEV numbers and market value from 2012 to 2022.

LEV total global market value 2011-2022

Source:IDTechEx

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

  • 1.1. Forecast for numbers of LEVs sold globally to 2025
  • 1.2. Pricing
  • 1.3. Market value forecast
  • 1.4. Reasons for growth
    • 1.4.1. Competition and profitability
    • 1.4.2. Opportunities
    • 1.4.3. Typical requirement

2. INTRODUCTION TO LIGHT ELECTRIC VEHICLES

  • 2.1. Definition of a light electric vehicle
  • 2.2. The Industry of LEVs
    • 2.2.1. Taiwan and China
    • 2.2.2. Outside Taiwan and China
    • 2.2.3. Too much cost cutting
  • 2.3. Tricycles to reduce accidents and help policing

3. REQUIREMENTS FOR LEVS

  • 3.1. How good does it have to be?
  • 3.2. What retail price?

4. TYPES OF LEV AND REGULATIONS

  • 4.1. What is an electric bicycle?
    • 4.1.1. Pedelec
    • 4.1.2. Power on Demand bikes and other categories
    • 4.1.3. Electric vehicles for disabled and others
    • 4.1.4. Power restriction
    • 4.1.5. Notable regulations
  • 4.2. Universal Technical Terms for Ebikes

5. MOBILITY FOR THE DISABLED - THE SECTOR WITH THE MOST COMPELLING AND ENDURING NEED

  • 5.1. The demographic time-bomb
    • 5.1.1. Ageing population and the dependent elderly
    • 5.1.2. Laws make mobility easier
  • 5.2. Types of mobility vehicle
    • 5.2.1. Growth by new market segments
    • 5.2.2. Interchina Industry Group China
  • 5.3. Market drivers
    • 5.3.1. Geographical distribution
    • 5.3.2. Needs creating new segments
    • 5.3.3. What is driving regional differences?
    • 5.3.4. Zhejiang R&P Industry China
    • 5.3.5. Pride Mobility, USA
  • 5.4. Listing of manufacturers
  • 5.5. Market forecasts 2012-2022
    • 5.5.1. Growth by creating new markets

6. LEV TECHNOLOGIES

  • 6.1. Battery Technology - as currently used in LEVs, on a pack level
    • 6.1.1. SVRLA strengths and weaknesses
    • 6.1.2. Battery packagers
    • 6.1.3. Battery Packs from China
    • 6.1.4. Power management and user interface
    • 6.1.5. Electric motor controller
    • 6.1.6. Motor Controls:
    • 6.1.7. Accessory features:
    • 6.1.8. Chinese Coin Charger
    • 6.1.9. Energy harvesting
    • 6.1.10. User Interface
    • 6.1.11. Real Time Data Logging and Reporting
    • 6.1.12. Infrastructure challenges and Government incentives
  • 6.2. Examples of battery suppliers to this sector
    • 6.2.1. Advanced Battery Technologies (ABAT) China
    • 6.2.2. Leyden Energy USA
    • 6.2.3. PowerGenix USA
    • 6.2.4. ReVolt Technologies Ltd Switzerland
    • 6.2.5. Toshiba Japan

7. LEV STANDARDS AND COMPONENT INDUSTRIAL TRENDS

  • 7.1. Standards Efforts
  • 7.2. Component industry trends
  • 7.3. LEV electric motor industry
  • 7.4. Controller industry
  • 7.5. Wiring harness and connectors

8. LEV MARKETS, MARKET DRIVERS AND FORECASTS

  • 8.1. Markets by territory
    • 8.1.1. China
    • 8.1.2. Japan
    • 8.1.3. India
    • 8.1.4. Europe
    • 8.1.5. USA
    • 8.1.6. Worldwide
  • 8.2. Markets by providers
  • 8.3. Bicycle Brands with ebikes or expected to have ebikes soon:
    • 8.3.1. USA
    • 8.3.2. European Bike Brands
    • 8.3.3. Netherlands brands:
  • 8.4. Channels of distribution
  • 8.5. Market forecasts and drivers
  • 8.6. Drivers of market
    • 8.6.1. Fuel price
    • 8.6.2. Fuel availability
    • 8.6.3. Efficiency
    • 8.6.4. Cost of government subsidy
    • 8.6.5. Traffic congestion
    • 8.6.6. Parking congestion
    • 8.6.7. Urbanization
    • 8.6.8. Air pollution
    • 8.6.9. Government regulation
    • 8.6.10. Personal responsibility
    • 8.6.11. Total cost of ownership
    • 8.6.12. Aging populations
    • 8.6.13. Living in apartments
    • 8.6.14. Negative factors
    • 8.6.15. Bans in Malaysia and elsewhere?

APPENDIX 1: IDTECHEX EV PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY

APPENDIX 2: LISTINGS OF LEV BRANDS, OEMS, COMPONENT MAKERS

APPENDIX 3: ADDITIONAL REGULATORY SUPPORT

TABLES

  • 1.1. LEV number, unit value in dollars ex factory and total global market value 2011-2022
  • 2.1. Prices and performance of electric two wheelers
  • 5.1. Statistics relevant to the challenge to society caused by ageing population
  • 5.2. Evolution of three families of powered vehicles for the disabled
  • 5.3. Evolution of power chairs 1980 to 2010
  • 5.4. Evolution of scooters for the disabled 1980 to 2010
  • 5.5. The continental percentage split of markets for vehicles for the disabled by value in 2010
  • 5.6. The percentage split of market for vehicles for the disabled by country within Europe
  • 5.7. The numbers in thousands of scooters plus power chairs that were and will be sold in Europe 2005 to 2015
  • 5.8. Features of mobility vehicles that may hold up the price by offering more in future
  • 5.9. The percentage distribution of manufacture between Taiwan and Mainland China by value of vehicles for the disabled 2005, 2010 and 2015
  • 5.10. Market for EVs for the disabled by geographical region, ex works pricing and percentage split in 2005, 2010 and 2020
  • 5.11. 82 examples of manufacturers of EVs for the disabled by country
  • 5.12. Global sales of EVs used as mobility aids for the disabled by number, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars, 2012-2022, rounded
  • 8.1. World e-bike sales (Units) estimated for 2007-2010
  • 8.2. Chinese cities banning or restricting electric bikes.

FIGURES

  • 1.1. LEV number in millions 2011-2022
  • 1.2. LEV unit value in dollars ex factory 2011-2022
  • 1.3. LEV total global market value in dollar billions 2011-2022
  • 2.1. Voltitude folding pedelec
  • 2.2. Chinese domestic ebike left and Currie IZ ViaRapido ebike right
  • 2.3. Electric motor scooters in China
  • 2.4. Electric moped by Ultra Motor
  • 2.5. Electric motorcycle by Vectrix
  • 2.6. Electric mini scooters by Currie Technologies
  • 2.7. Segway personal transporter
  • 2.8. 3 wheel LEV with windshield and cover
  • 2.9. The folding Yike Bike from New Zealand
  • 2.10. Ebike by Ultra Motor A2B
  • 2.11. LEV Shop Window with ebike.
  • 2.12. EU small folding ebike
  • 2.13. Chinese ebike loaded down
  • 2.14. Chinese ebike rider
  • 2.15. Chinese ebike with two riders
  • 2.16. Ebikes used at Chinese factories
  • 2.17. China LEVs at stop light
  • 2.18. Ebike Food Delivery for Papa John's in China
  • 2.19. Ebike food delivery by A2B Ultra Motor
  • 2.20. LEV four wheeler for seniors - a crossover from LEVs to mobility for the disabled
  • 2.21. IBD Bloomfield Bikes Ebike Display in CT USA
  • 2.22. TriBred electric Trikke patrol vehicle and general purpose version
  • 2.23. Electric tricycle
  • 2.24. Examples of three wheel leisure and delivery vehicles promoted at EVS26 in California May 2012
  • 3.1. Chinese Repair in the Street
  • 3.2. Chinese Ebike Tire Repair
  • 3.3. Escooter or Ebike?
  • 3.4. Traditional Chinese Ebike
  • 3.5. Optibike USA "The Ferrari of Electric Bikes"
  • 3.6. Small French Folding Ebike
  • 3.7. DK City db0 Ebike
  • 5.1. Percentage of dependent elderly 1970 to 2040
  • 5.2. New Pihsiang Shoprider pure electric mobility vehicle for the disabled
  • 5.3. The Electric Car (INEC-KARO) for the disabled from Interchina Industry Group
  • 5.4. Zhejiang R&P Industry ES 413
  • 5.5. Pride Jazzy - making new things possible
  • 6.1. Battery pack interiors
  • 6.2. Controller by Suzhou Bafang
  • 6.3. Lead Acid Battery Charger by High Power
  • 6.4. Solar parking lot for charging by Sanyo
  • 6.5. User Interface by Gepida
  • 6.6. User Interface by BionX
  • 6.7. UI 1 Photo with phone Interface
  • 6.8. Toshiba e-bike battery
  • 7.1. SVRLA battery sizes by Long
  • 7.2. Transparent battery box
  • 7.3. Innovative Chinese motor
  • 7.4. High speed brushless motor by Bafang
  • 7.5. Typical connector
  • 8.1. Example of China exports to the EU
  • 8.2. Hero Electric of India Flash Ebike 1
  • 8.3. Electric vehicle energy consumption per passenger kilometer with full occupation.
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