米国の爆発物検査（ETD）技術および市場：2010〜2014年

原文目次

Abstract

This report reviews trends, present and pipeline ETD technologies, and market sectors, and concludes that the lion share of this market' s expansion will be financed by an ever-growing need to reliably search and identify explosives.

This market research provides exclusive insights into this vibrant industry, including analysis by 5 categories:

• Market Segmentation by End Customer - (e.g., Airports, secured facilities, 1st responders bomb search teams, mail facilities)
• Market Segmentation by product - (e. g., Hand held and tabletop systems, people screening portals )
• Market Segmentation by commercial Sectors - (e.g., Systems market, service, consumables and upgrade markets)
• Business Opportunities by Threats & Vulnerabilities - (e.g., Secondary bomb search, aviation security, infrastructure security)
• Market Drivers & Inhibitors - Shaping the growth opportunities in the ETD Markets

The following factors will impact this forecasted market growth:

• The Obama administration is committed to accelerating the deployment of state-of-the-art airport cabin and checked baggage screening systems
• There is currently no other modality that can compete with ETD' s cost-performance in the detection and identification of explosives.
• The need to secure over 15000 government and private sector secured facilities
• Congress is applying bi-partisan pressure on the TSA to implement 100% Air Cargo screening on scheduled passenger flights
• The proliferation of ETD-based People Screening Portals on the backdrop of the negative public reaction toward MM-Wave and X-Ray based People Screening Portals

Table of Contents

1 Scope

• 1.1 Basic Assumptions
  • 1.1.1 Is There a Threat?
  • 1.1.2 Possible Scenario Analysis
  • 1.1.3 Additional Assumptions
• 1.2 Methodology
  • 1.2.1 Research Methods
  • 1.2.2 Report Structure
  • 1.2.3 Who Is This Report For?
• 1.3 Types of Explosives Detection
  • 1.3.1 Explosives Trace Detection (ETD)
  • 1.3.2 Bulk Explosives Detection

2 Executive Summary

• 2.1 Major Findings
• 2.2 Major Conclusions
• 2.3 The Econimic Slowdown - Impact on the ETD Market
  • 2.3.1 Economy Downturn Impacts on ETD Sub-markets
• 2.4 ETD Market Outlook - 2010-2014

3 ETD Market - Drivers

4 ETD Market - Inhibitors

5 The Impact of the 2009 "American Recovery and Reinvestment Act" on the ETD Market

6 Current Explosives Trace Detection (ETD) Technologies

• 6.1 Explosives Trace Detection (ETD)
  • 6.1.1 ETD Principles of Operation
  • 6.1.2 ETD Based Checked Luggage Screening
• 6.2 ETD Core Technologies
  • 6.2.1 Ion Mobility Spectroscopy (IMS)
  • 6.2.2 ChemiLuminescence (CL)
  • 6.2.3 Electron Capture Detectors (ECD)
  • 6.2.4 Electron Capture Detectors (ECD) Advantages
  • 6.2.5 Surface Acoustic Wave (SAW)
• 6.3 ETD Based People Screening Portals

7 ETD Systems Market Outlook - 2010-2014

• 7.1 Airport Cabin - Baggage Screening
• 7.2 Secured Facilities - Explosives Screening
• 7.3 Airport Checked Luggage Screening
  • 7.3.1 Airport Checked Luggage Screening Process
  • 7.3.2 Airport Checked Luggage Screening Market
• 7.4 Air Cargo Screening
  • 7.4.1 Air Cargo Screening Market Background
  • 7.4.2 Air Cargo Security Policy
  • 7.4.3 TSA Air Cargo Security - Pilot Programs
  • 7.4.4 Evaluating Air Cargo ETD Technology
  • 7.4.5 The Cost of 100% Air Cargo Screening
  • 7.4.6 Air Cargo Screening ETD Market Outlook - 2010-2014
• 7.5 People Screening Portals
• 7.6 Mail Items Screening
• 7.7 1st Responders Bomb Search ETD

8 ETD Service, Consumables & Upgrade Market Outlook - 2010-2014

• 8.1 Market by Applications
• 8.2 Market Structure

9 ETD Product Comparison

• 9.1 Desktop ETD
• 9.2 Portable (Swab) ETD
• 9.3 Hand Held ETD
• 9.4 Document Scanners ETD
• 9.5 People Screening ETD Portals

10 ETD Business Opportunities

• 10.1 Opportunity 1
• 10.2 Opportunity 2
• 10.3 Opportunity 3
• 10.4 Opportunity 4
• 10.5 Opportunity 5
• 10.6 Opportunity 6
• 10.7 Opportunity 7
• 10.8 Opportunity 8
• 10.9 Opportunity 9
• 10.10 Opportunity 10
• 10.11 Opportunity 11

11 Technology Outlook - 2010-2014

• 11.1 Techno-Tactical Needs
• 11.2 ETD of the Future: Techno-Tactical Drivers
• 11.3 ETD of the Future: Performance & Operational Goals
• 11.4 Advanced Sample Collection
• 11.5 Dual technology ETD
  • 11.5.1 Integrated Explosives, Chemical Warfare and Narcotics Trace Detectors

12 Appendix A: TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations

13 Appendix B: TSA Air Cargo Facility Regulations

14 Appendix C: TSA Checked Luggage Systems

15 Appendix D: The DOJ ETD Evaluation Protocol for 1st Responders

• 15.1 Introduction
• 15.2 The Basics of Instrument Operation
• 15.3 Protocol for Characterizing a Trace Explosives Detector
  • 15.3.1 Probability of Detection - P(d)
  • 15.3.2 Detection Limit (DL)
  • 15.3.3 False-Negative Rate
  • 15.3.4 False-Positive Test
  • 15.3.5 Nuisance-Alarm Rate
  • 15.3.6 Interference Tests
  • 15.3.7 Throughput Rate
  • 15.3.8 Sampling Time
  • 15.3.9 Analysis Time
  • 15.3.10 Total Processing Time

16 Appendix E: TSA Glossary

List of Tables

2 Executive Summary

• Table 1 - USA Potential Targets Requiring ETD Screening
• Table 2 - Economic Recession Impacts on ETD Sub-markets
• Table 3 - U.S. ETD (Systems Sales, Service, Consumables & Upgrade) Market by Application [$M] - 2008-2014
• Table 4 - U.S. ETD (Systems Sales, Service, Consumables & Upgrade) Market Structure [$M] - 2008-2014
• Table 5 - U.S. ETD (Systems Sales, Service, Consumables & Upgrade) Market Segmentation [%] - 2008-2014

6 Current Explosives Trace Detection (ETD) Technologies

• Table 6 - ETD vs. Bulk Explosives Detection Technologies
• Table 7 - Checked Luggage Screening TSA Approved ETD Systems Performance
• Table 8 - Trace Explosive Detection Technologies
• Table 9 - ETD Portals - Sensor Technology Comparison

7 ETD Systems Market Outlook - 2010-2014

• Table 10 - ETD Market: Airport Cabin Baggage Screening Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Table 11 - Airport Cabin Baggage Screening ETD Market [Unit] & Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008-2014
• Table 12 - Secured Facilities Explosives Screening ETD Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Table 13 - Secured Facilities Explosives Screening ETD Market [Unit] & Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008-2014
• Table 14 - ETD Market: Airport Checked Luggage Screening Sector [$M] - 2008- 2014
• Table 15 - Airport Checked Luggage ETD Market [Units] & Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008-2014
• Table 16 - ETD Based Air Cargo Screening Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Table 17 - ETD Based Air Cargo Screening Market [Units] & Market Share in Total ETD Market [%] - 2008-2014
• Table 18 - ETD Based People Screening Portals Sector Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Table 19 - ETD Based People Screening Portals [Unit] & Market Share in the Total ETD Market Outlook [%] - 2008-2014
• Table 20 - ETD Based Mail Items Screening Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Table 21 - ETD Based Mail Items Screening Market [Units] & Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008-2014
• Table 22 - ETD Based 1st Responders Bomb Search Market Outlook [$M] - 2008- 2014
• Table 23 - ETD Based 1st Responders Bomb Search Market [Units] & Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008-2014

8 ETD Service, Consumables & Upgrade Market Outlook - 2010-2014

• Table 24 - U.S. ETD Service, Consumables and Upgrade Market by Application [$M] - 2008-2014
• Table 25 - U.S. ETD Service, Consumables and Upgrade Market Structure [%] - 2008-2014

9 ETD Product Comparison

• Table 26 - Desktop ETD: Products Price, Technologies & Capabilities Comparison
• Table 27 - Portable (Swab) ETD: Products Price, Technologies & Capabilities Comparison
• Table 28 - Hand-Held ETD: Products Price, Technologies & Capabilities Comparison
• Table 29 - Document Scanners ETD: Products Price, Technologies & Capabilities Comparison
• Table 30 - People Screening ETD Portals Price Comparison

12 Appendix A: TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations

• Table 31 - Potential ETD Machines-Equipment Assumptions

14 Appendix C: TSA Checked Luggage Systems

• Table 32 - ETD Geometrical & Power Consumption Specification Characteristics

List of Figures

1 Scope

• Figure 1 - Airport Explosives Threats Vectors
• Figure 2 - Explosives Bulk and Trace Detection

2 Executive Summary

• Figure 3 - Air-Cargo Screening & Checked Luggagge Screening In The Ensemble Of Airport Security Means
• Figure 4 - ETD Modalities Timeline - 2008-2020
• Figure 5 - ETD (Systems Sales, Service, Consumables & Upgrade) Market [$ Million] - 2010-2014
• Figure 6 - ETD (Systems Sales, Service, Consumables & Upgrade) Market [%] by Application - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 7 - U.S. ETD (Systems Sales, Service, and Consumables & Upgrade) Market Fragmentation [%] - 2008 & 2014

6 Current Explosives Trace Detection (ETD) Technologies

• Figure 8 - Figure Explosives Detection Technologies: Bulk vs. Trace
• Figure 9 - Trace Detection General Principle of Operation
• Figure 10 - ETD Operational Workflow
• Figure 11 - Standalone EDS and ETD Luggage Screening Configuration
• Figure 12 - Stand-Alone Table Top ETD Systems Configuration for Small Airports
• Figure 13 - The Airborne Concentration of Various Explosives
• Figure 14 - Typical Sensitivity of Various Explosive Trace Detection Technologies
• Figure 15 - Tabletop ETD
• Figure 16 - ETD People Screening Portals
• Figure 17 - ETD People Screening Portals - Principle of Operation

7 ETD Systems Market Outlook - 2010-2014

• Figure 18 - ETD Market: Airport Cabin Baggage Screening Sector [$M] - 2008-2014
• Figure 19 - ETD Market: Airport Cabin Baggage Screening Sector [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 20 - Secured Facilities Explosives Screening ETD Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Figure 21 - Secured Facilities Explosives Screening ETD Market by Sector [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 22 - Secured Facilities Explosives Screening ETD Market [Units] - 2008-2014
• Figure 23 - Secured Facilities Explosives Screening ETD Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 24 - Schematic Diagram of EDS and ETD Checked Luggage Flow Chart
• Figure 25 - ETD Market: Airport Checked Luggage Screening Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Figure 26 - ETD Market: Airport Checked Luggage Screening Sector [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 27 - Airport Checked Luggage ETD Market [Units]
• Figure 28 - Airport Checked Luggage ETD Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 29 - U.S. Air Cargo Shipments: FAA Historic Data and Forecasts (FY1999- FY2020)
• Figure 30 - Flow of Cargo from Shipper to Air Carrier
• Figure 31 - Screening Air Cargo Using Explosives Trace Detection and Loading It onto Passenger Aircraft
• Figure 32 - ETD Based Air Cargo Screening Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Figure 33 - ETD Based Air Cargo Screening by Sector [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 34 - ETD Based Air Cargo Screening Market Outlook [Unit] - 2008-2014
• Figure 35 - ETD Based Air Cargo Screening Market Share in Total ETD Market [%] - 2008 $ 2014
• Figure 36 - ETD Based People Screening Portals Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Figure 37 - ETD Based People Screening Portals by Sector [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 38 - ETD Based People Screening Portals Market [Unit] - 2008-2014
• Figure 39 - ETD Based People Screening Portals Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 40 - ETD Based Mail Items Screening Market Outlook [$M] - 2008-2014
• Figure 41 - ETD Based Mail Items Screening Market by Sector [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 42 - ETD Based Mail Items Screening Market Outlook [Units] - 2008-2014
• Figure 43 - ETD Based Mail Items Screening Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 44 - ETD Based 1st Responders Bomb Search Market Outlook [$M] - 2008- 2014
• Figure 45 - ETD Based 1st Responders Bomb Search Market by Sector [%] - 2008 & 2014
• Figure 46 - ETD Based 1st Responders Bomb Search Market Outlook [Units] - 2008-2014
• Figure 47 - ETD Based 1st Responders Bomb Search Market Share in the Total ETD Market [%] - 2008 & 2014

8 ETD Service, Consumables & Upgrade Market Outlook - 2010-2014

• Figure 48 - U.S. ETD Systems Service and Upgrade Market by Application [$Million] - 2010-2014
• Figure 49 - U.S. ETD Systems Service and Upgrade Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014

10 ETD Business Opportunities

• Figure 50 - The ETD Performance Criteria

12 Appendix A: TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations

• Figure 51 - Checked Luggage ETD-EDS Screening Configuration - 1
• Figure 52 - Checked Luggage ETD-EDS Screening Configuration - 2
• Figure 53 - Schematic Visualization of a Mini in-Line System
• Figure 54 - Checked Luggage ETD-EDS Screening Configuration - 3 Mini In-Line System with Light Integration
• Figure 55 - Checked Luggage ETD-EDS Screening Configuration - Stand-Alone EDS
• Figure 56 - Stand-Alone Checked Luggage ETD System

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