Future forecasts and historic market data can improve market and strategic planning- Understand which channels and products will be the major winners and losers in the coming years- Know the share of sales between different products in your key channels and how this will develop- Assess the impact of economic recession and recovery on market growth
Introduction and Landscape
Why was the report written?
"The Future of Retailing in Asia Pacific to 2016" is based upon an extensive, cross-country, industry research program which brings together Canadean's research, modelling and analysis expertise in order to develop uniquely detailed market data. It provides detailed quantitative analysis of past and future trends, crucially providing retail sales data not just by channel and by product, but showing product sales through different channels. This allows marketers interested in retailing to determine how to account for the development of the retail trade overall and to know which channels are showing growth for which products in the coming years. It aims to capture the shift to new channels depending on the country, the effects of recession, and shifting consumer behaviour thereby providing timely, highly comparable analysis of the retail markets. Data sets are provided for 2006 through to 2016, with actuals being provided for 2011. All initial market sizing and analysis is conducted in local currency in order to ensure that local trends are reflected in the data before conversion into other currencies.
What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?
Consumers have been reacting to the effects of the global recession including the following recovery period on their discretionary spending and retail markets have been no exception. While the country by country market changes have varied, nowhere has been left totally untouched.This report quantitatively examines the components of change in the market by looking at historic and future growth patterns including how changes in consumers' behaviour have affected the retail sector for different productcategories and channels.
What makes this report unique and essential to read?
This report provides detailed data on the size and development of retail sales of individual product types through specific retail channels and formats in Asia-Pacific. It provides a detailed and comprehensive quantitative analysis of the trends affecting market development through both historic and forecast data.
Key Features and Benefits
Category coverage is provided to cover 25 products, across eight product groups that include: Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods, Books, News and Stationery, Electricals and Electronics, Food and Grocery, Furniture and Floor Coverings, Home and Garden Products, Music, Video and Entertainment Software, and Sports and Leisure Equipment.
Channel coverage is provided to cover 17 channels, across four channel groups that include: General Retailers, Specialist Retailers, Value Retailers, and Online Retailers.
Forecasts allow marketers to understand the future pattern of market trends, from winners and losers to category and channel dynamics, and thereby quickly and easily identify the key areas in which they want to compete in the future.
Key Highlights
Though highly unorganised in nature, China and India continue to dominate Asia-Pacific retail sales. Their combined share is expected to increase from just 45% in 2006 to over two-thirds by 2016. Broadly, Japan is expected to lose nearly 15% of its share over these years.
Retail sales in the developing economies of China, India, Indonesia and the Philippines are expected to grow in double digits annually over the forecast period.
Japan, Australia and New Zealand, respectively, occupy the top three ranks in terms of per-capita retail spend in the region in 2011.
Table of Contents
1 Introduction
1.1 What is this Report About?
1.2 Definitions
1.2.1 This Report Provides 2011 Actual Sales; While Forecasts are Provided For 2012 - 2016
1.2.2 Product and Channel Definitions
1.2.3 Country Coverage
1.3 Summary Methodology
1.3.1 Overview
1.3.2 The Triangulated Market Sizing Method
1.3.3 Industry Surveys In The Creation Of Retail Market Data
1.3.4 Quality Control and Standardized Processes
2 Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Overview
2.1 Retail Channels Overview
2.2 Retail Categories Overview
2.3 Asia Pacific: Country Overview
2.3.1 Channel Share by Country
2.3.2 Retail Sales by Country
2.3.3 Per-Capita Spend
3 Asia Pacific: Channel Analysis
3.1 General Retailers Group Overall
3.1.1 Convenience Stores (Including Independents) and Gas Stations Sales by Country
3.1.2 Convenience Stores (Including Independents) and Gas Stations Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.3 Convenience Stores (Including Independents) and Gas Stations Product Sales
3.1.4 Department Stores Sales by Country
3.1.5 Department Stores Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.6 Department Stores Product Sales
3.1.7 Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters Sales by Country
3.1.8 Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.9 Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers Sales by Country
3.1.10 Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.11 Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers Product Sales
3.1.12 Vending Machines Sales by Country
3.1.13 Vending Machines Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.14 Vending Machines Product Sales
3.2 Specialist Retailers Group Overall
3.2.1 Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists Sales by Country
3.2.2 Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists Per Capita Spending by Country
3.2.3 Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists Product Sales
3.2.4 Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores Sales by Country
3.2.5 Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.6 Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores Product Sales
3.2.7 Duty Free Retailers Sales by Country
3.2.8 Duty Free Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.9 Duty Free Retailers Product Sales
3.2.10 Electricals and Electronics Specialists Sales by Country
3.2.11 Electricals and Electronics Specialists Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.12 Electricals and Electronics Specialists Product Sales
3.2.13 Food and Drinks Specialists Sales by Country
3.2.14 Food and Drinks Specialists Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.15 Food and Drinks Specialists Product Sales
3.2.16 Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers Sales by Country
3.2.17 Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.18 Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers Product Sales
3.2.19 Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers Sales by Country
3.2.20 Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.21 Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers Product Sales
3.2.22 Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists Sales by Country
3.2.23 Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.24 Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists Product Sales
3.2.25 Other Specialist Retailers Sales by Country
3.2.26 Other Specialist Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.27 Other Specialist Retailers Product Sales
3.3 Online Retailers Overall
3.3.1 Online Retailing Sales by Country
3.3.2 Online Retailing Per Capita Spending by Country
3.3.3 Online Retailing Product Sales
3.4 Value Retailers Group Overall
3.4.1 Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs Sales by Country
3.4.2 Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs by Per Capita Spend by Country
3.4.3 Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs by Product Sales
3.4.4 Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers Sales by Country
3.4.5 Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers Per Capita by Country
3.4.6 Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers by Product Sales
Table 5: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Sales (US$ bn), by Channel Group, 2006-2011
Table 6: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Sales Forecast (US$ bn), by Channel Group, 2011-2016
Table 7: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Segmentation (% value), by Channel Group, 2006-2016
Table 8: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Sales (US$ bn), by Category Group, 2006-2011
Table 9: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Sales Forecast (US$ bn), by Category Group, 2011-2016
Table 10: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Segmentation (% value), by Category Group, 2006-2016
Table 11: Asia Pacific: Channel Share (%), By Country (1 of 2), 2011
Table 12: Asia Pacific: Channel Share (%), By Country (2 of 2), 2011
Table 13: Asia Pacific: RetailSales (US$ billion), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 14: Asia Pacific: RetailSales Forecasts (US$ billion), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 15: Asia Pacific: RetailSales (% Share), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 16: Asia Pacific: RetailSales (% Share), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 17: Asia Pacific: Per Capita Retail Spending (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 18: Asia Pacific: Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 19: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through General Retailers Group (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 20: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through General Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 21: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through General Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 22: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through General Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 23: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Convenience Stores (including Independents) and Gas Stations (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 24: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Convenience Stores (including Independents) and Gas Stations Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 25: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Convenience Stores (including Independents) and Gas Stations (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 26: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Convenience Stores (including Independents) and Gas Stations (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 27: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Convenience Stores (Including Independents) and Gas Stations (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 28: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Convenience Stores (Including Independents) and Gas Stations (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 29: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Department stores (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 30: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Department stores Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 31: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Department stores (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 32: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Department stores (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 33: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Department Stores (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 34: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Department Stores (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 35: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 36: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 37: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 38: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 39: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 40: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 41: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 42: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 43: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 44: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 45: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 46: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 47: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Vending machines (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 48: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Vending machines Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 49: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Vending machines (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 50: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Vending machines (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 51: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Vending Machines (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 52: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Vending Machines (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 53: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Specialist Retailers Group (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 54: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Specialist Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 55: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Specialist Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 56: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Specialist Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 57: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 58: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 59: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 60: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 61: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 62: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 63: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Drug stores and health and beauty stores (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 64: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Drug stores and health and beauty stores Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 65: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Drug stores and health and beauty stores (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 66: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Drug stores and health and beauty stores (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 67: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 68: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 69: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Duty free retailers (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 70: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Duty free retailers Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 71: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Duty free retailers (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 72: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Duty free retailers (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 73: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Duty Free Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 74: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Duty Free Retailers (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 75: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Electricals and electronics specialists (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 76: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Electricals and electronics specialists Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 77: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Electricals and electronics specialists (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 78: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Electricals and electronics specialists (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 79: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Electricals and Electronics Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 80: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Electricals and Electronics Specialists (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 81: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Food and drinks specialists (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 82: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Food and drinks specialists Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 83: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Food and drinks specialists (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 84: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Food and drinks specialists (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 85: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Food and Drinks Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 86: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Food and Drinks Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 87: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 88: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 89: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 90: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 91: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 92: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 93: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 94: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 95: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 96: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 97: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 98: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 99: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Music, video, book, stationery, and entertainment software specialists (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 100: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Music, video, book, stationery, and entertainment software specialists Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 101: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Music, video, book, stationery, and entertainment software specialists (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 102: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Music, video, book, stationery, and entertainment software specialists (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 103: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 104: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 105: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Other specialist retailers (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 106: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Other specialist retailers Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 107: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Other specialist retailers (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 108: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Other specialist retailers (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 109: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Other Specialist Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 110: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Other Specialist Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 111: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Online retailing (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 112: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Online retailing Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 113: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Online retailing (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 114: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Online retailing (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 115: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Online Retailing (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 116: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Online Retailing (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 117: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Value Retailers Group (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 118: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Value Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 119: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Value Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 120: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Value Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 121: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 122: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 123: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 124: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 125: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 126: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
Table 127: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers (US$ million), By Country, 2006-2011
Table 128: Asia Pacific : Retail Sales through Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2011-2016
Table 129: Asia Pacific : Per Capita Retail Spending through Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers (US$), by Country, 2006-2011
Table 130: Asia Pacific : Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending through Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers (US$), by Country, 2011-2016
Table 131: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales through Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2006-2011
Table 132: Asia Pacific: Retail Sales Forecast through Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers (US$ Billion), by Category, 2011-2016
List of Figures
Figure 1: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology
Figure 2: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Sales and Forecast (USD Bn), by Channel Group, 2006-2016
Figure 3: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Market Dynamics, by Channel Group, 2006-2016
Figure 4: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Sales (USD Bn), by Category Group, 2006-2016
Figure 5: Asia Pacific: Overall Retail Market Dynamics, by Category Group, 2006-2016
Figure 6: Asia Pacific: General Retailers Sales and Forecast (USD Mn), by Channel, 2006-2016
Figure 7: Asia Pacific: General Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2006-2016
Figure 8: Asia Pacific: Specialist Retailers Sales and Forecast (USD Mn), by Channel, 2006-2016
Figure 9: Asia Pacific: Specialist Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2006-2016
Figure 10: Asia Pacific: Value Retailers Sales and Forecast (USD Mn), by Channel, 2006-2016
Figure 11: Asia Pacific: Value Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2006-2016
