Future forecasts and historic market data can improve market and strategic planning- Understand which channels and products will be the major winners and losers in the coming years- Know the share of sales between different products in your key channels and how this will develop- Assess the impact of economic recession and recovery on market growth
Introduction and Landscape
Why was the report written?
"The Future of Retailing in Middle East and Africa to 2016" is based upon an extensive, cross-country, industry research program which brings together Canadean's research, modelling and analysis expertise in order to develop uniquely detailed market data. It provides detailed quantitative analysis of past and future trends, crucially providing retail sales data not just by channel and by product, but showing product sales through different channels. This allows marketers interested in retailing to determine how to account for the development of the retail trade overall and to know which channels are showing growth for which products in the coming years. It aims to capture the shift to new channels depending on the country, the effects of recession, and shifting consumer behaviour thereby providing timely, highly comparable analysis of the retail markets. Data sets are provided for 2006 through to 2016, with actuals being provided for 2011. All initial market sizing and analysis is conducted in local currency in order to ensure that local trends are reflected in the data before conversion into other currencies.
What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?
Consumers have been reacting to the effects of the global recession including the following recovery period on their discretionary spending and retail markets have been no exception. While the country by country market changes have varied, nowhere has been left totally untouched.This report quantitatively examines the components of change in the market by looking at historic and future growth patterns including how changes in consumers' behaviour have affected the retail sector for different productcategories and channels.
What makes this report unique and essential to read?
This report provides detailed data on the size and development of retail sales of individual product types through specific retail channels and formats in the Middle East and Africa. It provides a detailed and comprehensive quantitative analysis of the trends affecting market development through both historic and forecast data.
Key Features and Benefits
Category coverage is provided to cover 25 products, across eight product groups that include: Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods, Books, News and Stationery, Electricals and Electronics, Food and Grocery, Furniture and Floor Coverings, Home and Garden Products, Music, Video and Entertainment Software, and Sports and Leisure Equipment.
Channel coverage is provided to cover 17 channels, across four channel groups that include: General Retailers, Specialist Retailers, Value Retailers, and Online Retailers.
Forecasts allow marketers to understand the future pattern of market trends, from winners and losers to category and channel dynamics, and thereby quickly and easily identify the key areas in which they want to compete in the future.
South Africa, which accounted for nearly two-fifths of the total Middle East and African retail sales in 2006, is expected to reduce to slightly above 30% by 2016. Retail sales in South Africa have grown by slightly over 3% since 2006, and are expected to grow by6% annually through 2016.
Egypt and Saudi Arabia independently are expected to continue to contribute nearly 20% to 25% of the total Middle East and African retail sales.
The UAE tops the region in terms of per-capita retail spend in 2011, followed by Israel and Saudi Arabia.
Table of Contents
1.1 What is this Report About?
1.2.1 This Report Provides 2011 Actual Sales; While Forecasts Are Provided For 2012 - 2016
1.2.2 Product and Channel Definitions
1.2.3 Country Coverage
1.3 Summary Methodology
1.3.2 The Triangulated Market Sizing Method
1.3.3 Industry Surveys In The Creation Of Retail Market Data
1.3.4 Quality Control and Standardized Processes
2 Middle East and Africa: Retail Sales Overview
2.1 Retail Channels Overview
2.2 Retail Categories Overview
2.3 Middle East and Africa: Country Overview
2.3.1 Channel Share by Country
2.3.2 Retail Sales by Country
2.3.3 Per-Capita Spend
3 Middle East and Africa: Channel Analysis
3.1 General Retailers Group Overall
3.1.1 Convenience Stores (Including Independents) and Gas Stations Sales by Country
3.1.2 Convenience Stores (Including Independents) and Gas Stations Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.3 Convenience Stores (Including Independents) and Gas Stations Product Sales
3.1.4 Department Stores Sales by Country
3.1.5 Department Stores Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.6 Department Stores Product Sales
3.1.7 Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters Sales by Country
3.1.8 Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.9 Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers Sales by Country
3.1.10 Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.11 Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers Product Sales
3.1.12 Vending Machines Sales by Country
3.1.13 Vending Machines Per Capita Spend by Country
3.1.14 Vending Machines Product Sales
3.2 Specialist Retailers Group Overall
3.2.1 Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists Sales by Country
3.2.2 Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists Per Capita Spending by Country
3.2.3 Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists Product Sales
3.2.4 Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores Sales by Country
3.2.5 Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.6 Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores Product Sales
3.2.7 Duty Free Retailers Sales by Country
3.2.8 Duty Free Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.9 Duty Free Retailers Product Sales
3.2.10 Electricals and Electronics Specialists Sales by Country
3.2.11 Electricals and Electronics Specialists Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.12 Electricals and Electronics Specialists Product Sales
3.2.13 Food and Drinks Specialists Sales by Country
3.2.14 Food and Drinks Specialists Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.15 Food and Drinks Specialists Product Sales
3.2.16 Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers Sales by Country
3.2.17 Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.18 Home Furniture and Homeware Retailers Product Sales
3.2.19 Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers Sales by Country
3.2.20 Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.21 Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers Product Sales
3.2.22 Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists Sales by Country
3.2.23 Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.24 Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists Product Sales
3.2.25 Other Specialist Retailers Sales by Country
3.2.26 Other Specialist Retailers Per Capita Spend by Country
3.2.27 Other Specialist Retailers Product Sales
3.3 Online Retailers Overall
3.3.1 Online Retailing Sales by Country
3.3.2 Online Retailing Per Capita Spending by Country
3.3.3 Online Retailing Product Sales
3.4 Value Retailers Group Overall
3.4.1 Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs Sales by Country
3.4.2 Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs by Per Capita Spend by Country
3.4.3 Cash & Carries and Warehouse Clubs by Product Sales
3.4.4 Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers Sales by Country
3.4.5 Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers Per Capita by Country
3.4.6 Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers by Product Sales