2011年末、モバイルオペレーター各社によるスモールセルセルラー基地局の設置は世界で220万ユニットと推計されており、このうちの200万ユニット以上はフェムトセルであると推計されています。北米、日本、韓国のモバイルオペレーターがモバイルネットワークデータキャパシティの拡大のためにこの展開を強化しており、他の国々のオペレーターもホットスポットでのデータ需要が拡大する中で、徐々にこの傾向に追従しはじめています。スモールセルセルラー基地局のインストールベースは2016年には1,400万ユニットに達すると予測されており、これを主導するのは同年に1,000万ユニットを超えると予測されるフェムトセルであると推測されています。
当レポートでは、世界の通信市場におけるスモールセルとWi-Fiオフローディングの動向について調査分析し、通信市場の背景、スモールセルおよびWi-Fi技術の種類と概要、スモールセル・フェムトセルの展開状況、Wi-Fiネットワークの展開状況、スモールセルのバリューチェーンと主要ベンダーのプロファイル、デバイスタイプ・地域・エアインターフェース別のスモールセルユニットの出荷予測(〜2016年)などをまとめ、概略下記の構成でお届けいたします。
Abstract
This report will allow you to:
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- Understand the opportunities and challenges for small cell base
stations.
- Comprehend how femtocell technologies affect mobile networks.
- Identify key players on the global small cell market.
- Predict future business models for femtocell services.
- Anticipate the timing of mass-deployments of small cell devices and
services.
- Realize the importance of integrated Wi-Fi offloading solutions.
- Profit from valuable insights from the most successful offerings on
the market.
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Executive summary
Mobile operators are experiencing fast growth in mobile data and signalling
traffic as customers increasingly use mobile computing devices. Adoption of
smartphones is rising and more subscribers use multiple connected devices such
as PCs and tablets. Total mobile data traffic in cellular networks have more
than doubled every year since 2007 and is forecasted to grow at a compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) of more than 60 percent from 2011 until 2016.
Subscribers are also becoming more reliant on mobile phones as their primary
or only device for voice communication and therefore expect ubiquitous network
coverage.
In order to meet the rising demand, operators need to use a combination of
approaches. These include improving the mobile macro layer by using more
spectrum and increasingly advanced radio air interfaces with higher spectral
efficiency, making the macro layer denser by installing more base stations in
traffic hotspots, as well as introducing heterogeneous networks (HetNets).
HetNets are composed of multiple radio access technologies, architectures,
backhaul solutions and base stations of varying transmission power. Examples
of low power nodes include Remote Radio Units (RRU) and Distributed Antenna
Systems (DAS), as well as small autonomous base stations including microcells,
picocells and femtocells. Making use of Wi-Fi access points in unlicensed
spectrum is also an increasingly attractive solution as new standardisation
and interoperability efforts aim to make the network selection and user
identification process seamless. HetNets will become increasingly important in
the future as spectrum is a scarce resource and densification of the macro
network gets more costly as site acquisition in metropolitan areas becomes
more difficult. Several operators have already deployed microcells, picocells,
femtocells and integrated carrier Wi-Fi network solutions. The first
commercial integrated HetNets will be deployed starting in 2013.
A microcell is a small cellular base station that covers a limited area such
as a shopping mall or a train station. Microcells are often deployed to add
network coverage and capacity in areas with dense phone usage, or temporarily
during various events when the need for capacity is known in advance. Output
power is usually a few watts and the radius of the coverage area ranges
between 100 metres and 300 metres. Similar to microcells, picocells add
coverage and capacity to limited geographical areas such as offices or public
venues.
These cells are often found inside buildings where coverage is poor or where
there is a dense population of users. There is no clear distinction between
microcells and picocells, though picocells are usually smaller, have lower
output power and may support fewer simultaneous users. Picocells and
microcells are deployed by the operator and are part of the RAN. Femtocells
are low power cellular access points with about 20 - 100 mW output power,
intended to extend coverage and offload the macro network in home and small
office environments, supporting four to eight simultaneous users. Femtocells
have been developed to work with a range of different cellular standards
including CDMA, GSM, HSPA and LTE. Femtocells are self-installing
plug-and-play devices deployed by users, similar to Wi-Fi access points.
Femtocells use IP broadband connections for backhaul of voice and data.
However, in contrast to Wi-Fi access points, femtocells are mobile
infrastructure components that operate in licensed spectrum. Mobile operators
usually install femtocell gateways that act as concentrators for integrating a
large number of femtocells with the core network. About 40 mobile operators in
24 countries now offer femtocells to consumer and enterprise customers.
However, the deployments have mainly been driven by large operator groups
while smaller operators have struggled to justify the high costs of building
and integrating a femtocell core network.
Berg Insight estimates that mobile operators globally had deployed 2.2 million
small cell cellular base stations at the end of 2011, including more than 2
million femtocells. Mobile operators in North America, Japan and South Korea
are now stepping up deployments of small cell cellular base stations to
increase mobile network data capacity. Operators in other countries will
gradually follow as data demand increases in hotspot areas. Berg Insight
forecasts that the installed base of small cell cellular base stations will
increase to 14 million units in 2016, driven by femtocells that will reach 10
million units in the same year.
Installed base of small cell base stations, million units (World 2010 - 2016)
This report answers the following questions:
- What is the current status of the femtocell market?
- How will femtocell services evolve in the future?
- What are the femtocell strategies of the leading mobile operators?
- Which companies are active in the small cell market?
- Which operators have introduced Wi-Fi offloading solutions?
- How will small cell base station and Wi-Fi technologies evolve in the
future?
- How will North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific compare in terms of small
cell deployments?
About the Author
André Malm is a Senior Analyst with a Masters degree from Chalmers
University of Technology. He joined Berg Insight in 2006 and his areas of
expertise include locationbased services, handset technologies and personal
navigation services.
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
List of Figures
Executive summary
1. Introduction to small cells and Wi-Fi offloading
- 1.1. Introduction
- 1.1.1. Continued growth in mobile subscriptions and handset sales
- 1.1.2. Broadband services drive fixed-line connection growth
- 1.1.3. Fixed-mobile convergence and fixed-mobile substitution market
trends
- 1.1.4. Global mobile data traffic grows along with increasing smartphone
adoption
- 1.2. Communication network technology evolution
- 1.2.1. Wireless technologies
- 1.2.2. Fixed-line broadband technologies
- 1.3. Mobile network capacity improvement strategies
- 1.3.1. Macro layer improvements
- 1.3.2. Macro layer densification
- 1.3.3. Heterogeneous networks (HetNets)
- 1.3.4. Femtocells
- 1.3.5. Wi-Fi network integration and mobile data offloading
2. Small cell and Wi-Fi technology
- 2.1. Mobile network standards and architectures
- 2.1.1. GSM/GPRS/EDGE networks
- 2.1.2. UMTS/HSPA networks
- 2.1.3. LTE networks
- 2.1.4. Heterogeneous networks
- 2.1.5. Microcells
- 2.1.6. Picocells
- 2.1.7. Femtocells
- 2.2. Femtocell architectures in 3GPP and 3GPP2 networks
- 2.2.1. 3GPP UMTS femtocell specifications and interfaces
- 2.2.2. IMS based femtocell architecture
- 2.2.3. 3GPP LTE femtocell architectures
- 2.3. Wi-Fi and cellular network integration
- 2.3.1. UMA/GAN
- 2.3.2. 3GPP Wireless LAN Interworking (I-WLAN)
- 2.3.3. Hotspot 2.0 and Next Generation Hotspot
3. Small cell deployments
- 3.1. Small cells and femtocells from an operator perspective
- 3.1.1. The femtocell business case for mobile operators
- 3.1.2. Operator strategies
- 3.2. Small cell trials and commercial offerings
- 3.2.1. AT&T
- 3.2.2. China Unicom
- 3.2.3. Cosmote
- 3.2.4. Everything Everywhere
- 3.2.5. Hutchison 3G
- 3.2.6. KDDI au
- 3.2.7. MegaFon
- 3.2.8. Mobile TeleSystems
- 3.2.9. Network Norway
- 3.2.10. NTT DoCoMo
- 3.2.11. Optimus
- 3.2.12. Orange Group
- 3.2.13. SFR
- 3.2.14. SingTel Group
- 3.2.15. SK Telecom
- 3.2.16. SoftBank
- 3.2.17. Sprint Nextel
- 3.2.18. StarHub
- 3.2.19. Telefonica
- 3.2.20. Telenor
- 3.2.21. Verizon Wireless
- 3.2.22. Vodafone
4. Wi-Fi network deployments
- 4.1. Wi-Fi network operators, aggregators and brokers
- 4.1.1. Boingo Wireless
- 4.1.2. The Cloud
- 4.1.3. Comfone
- 4.1.4. Fon
- 4.1.5. iPass
- 4.1.6. Trustive
- 4.2. Carrier Wi-Fi network deployments and services
- 4.2.1. AT&T
- 4.2.2. China Mobile
- 4.2.3. Deutsche Telekom
- 4.2.4. Eircom
- 4.2.5. Free Mobile
- 4.2.6. KDDI au
- 4.2.7. KPN
- 4.2.8. KT Corporation
- 4.2.9. Swisscom
- 4.2.10. Telefonica O2 UK
- 4.2.11. TeliaSonera
5. Vendor profiles and strategies
- 5.1. The small cell value chain
- 5.2. End-to-end small cell system vendors and integrators
- 5.2.1. Alcatel-Lucent
- 5.2.2. Cisco Systems
- 5.2.3. Contela
- 5.2.4. Ericsson
- 5.2.5. Fujitsu
- 5.2.6. Hitachi
- 5.2.7. Huawei
- 5.2.8. NEC
- 5.2.9. Nokia Siemens Networks
- 5.2.10. Samsung Electronics
- 5.3. Small cell and residential gateway vendors
- 5.3.1. Airspan
- 5.3.2. Airvana
- 5.3.3. HSL
- 5.3.4. Ip.access
- 5.3.5. Minieum Networks
- 5.3.6. SpiderCloud Wireless
- 5.3.7. TEKTELIC Communications
- 5.3.8. UbeeAirWalk
- 5.3.9. Ubiquisys
- 5.3.10. ADB Group
- 5.3.11. Alpha Networks
- 5.3.12. Gemtek
- 5.3.13. Netgear
- 5.3.14. Sagemcom
- 5.3.15. SerComm
- 5.3.16. Tecom
- 5.4. Small cell chipset vendors
- 5.4.1. Broadcom
- 5.4.2. Freescale Semiconductor
- 5.4.3. Mindspeed Technologies
- 5.4.4. Qualcomm
- 5.4.5. Texas Instruments
- 5.5. Small cell software and network gateway vendors
- 5.5.1. Acme Packet
- 5.5.2. Aricent Group
- 5.5.3. mimoOn
- 5.5.4. Node-H
- 5.5.5. Genband
- 5.5.6. Radisys
- 5.5.7. Taqua
- 5.6. Wi-Fi data offloading solution vendors
- 5.6.1. Aptilo Networks
- 5.6.2. Birdstep
- 5.6.3. Greenpacket
- 5.6.4. Kineto Wireless
- 5.6.5. Notava
- 5.6.6. Smith Micro Software
- 5.6.7. Stoke
- 5.6.8. Syniverse
- 5.6.9. WeFi
- 5.7. Wi-Fi equipment vendors
- 5.7.1. Alvarion
- 5.7.2. Edgewater Wireless
- 5.7.3. GoNet Systems
- 5.7.4. Ruckus Wireless
- 5.7.5. Strix Systems
- 5.7.6. Ubiquiti Networks
- 5.7.7. Vivato Technologies
6. Market trends and forecasts
- 6.1. Small cell market trends
- 6.1.1. Moving from femtocell trials to small cell deployments
- 6.1.2. HetNet and small cell adoption may lead to industry transformation
- 6.1.3. Wi-Fi offloading is gaining acceptance among mobile operators
- 6.2. Small cell market forecasts
- 6.2.1. Small cell deployments in Asia Pacific
- 6.2.2. Small cell deployments in Europe
- 6.2.3. Small cell deployments in North America
- 6.2.4. Small cell shipments worldwide
Glossary
List of Figures
- Figure 1.1: Mobile subscriptions and handset sales by region (World
Q4-2011)
- Figure 1.2: Fixed-line broadband connections by region (World Q4-2011)
- Figure 1.3: Voice traffic (World 2000 - 2008)
- Figure 1.4: Mobile voice and data traffic (World 2007 - 2011)
- Figure 1.5: Monthly data usage by subscription type (Scandinavia 2009 -
2011)
- Figure 1.6: Mobile subscriptions and handset sales by standard (World
Q4-2011)
- Figure 1.7: Theoretical peak data rates by wireless technology
- Figure 1.8: Theoretical peak data rates by fixed-line technology
- Figure 2.1: UMTS network architecture
- Figure 2.2: LTE network architecture
- Figure 2.3: Heterogeneous network
- Figure 2.4: Comparison of cellular network cell types
- Figure 2.5: Iuh based femtocell architecture in UMTS networks
- Figure 2.6: IMS based architecture
- Figure 2.7: LTE femtocell architectures and interfaces
- Figure 2.8: UMA/GAN architecture and interfaces
- Figure 2.9: 3GPP I-WLAN architecture
- Figure 3.1: Examples of commercial femtocell offerings (May 2012)
- Figure 4.1: Examples of Wi-Fi network operators and aggregators (May 2012)
- Figure 5.1: Main small cell solutions by vendor (May 2012)
- Figure 5.2: Overview of femtocell access point vendors (May 2012)
- Figure 5.3: Acquisitions in the small cell ecosystem (2010 - 2012)
- Figure 5.4: Examples of Wi-Fi equipment vendors (May 2012)
- Figure 6.1: Comparison of main telecom indicators by region (World Q4-2011)
- Figure 6.2: Handset shipments and user forecast (World 2011 - 2016)
- Figure 6.3: Cellular data traffic usage forecast (World 2011 - 2016)
- Figure 6.4: Small cell installed base (World 2011 - 2016)
- Figure 6.5: Main telecom indicators in Asia-Pacific (2011 - 2016)
- Figure 6.6: Main telecom indicators in EU27+2 (2011 - 2016)
- Figure 6.7: Main telecom indicators in North America (2011 - 2016)
- Figure 6.8: Small cell shipments by device type (World 2010 - 2016)
- Figure 6.9: Small cell shipments by region (World 2010 - 2016)
- Figure 6.10: Small cell shipments by air interface (World 2010 - 2016)