• English
  • Korean
  • Chinese
市場調査レポート - 243383

グレー端末市場の分析・予測

Grey Handsets: Market Analysis and Forecasts

発行 ARCchart
出版日 ページ情報 英文
価格
グレー端末市場の分析・予測 Grey Handsets: Market Analysis and Forecasts
出版日: 2012年06月01日 ページ情報: 英文
概要

グレー端末は、政府の規制当局による認証またはライセンスを受けておらず、また偽の国際移動体装置識別(IMEI)番号(端末識別番号)を使用しています。これらの端末の生産者はたいてい付加価値税を支払っていないため、市場から不法に利益を得ています。

当レポートでは、世界におけるグレー携帯端末のエコシステム、および、より広範な合法の携帯端末産業について分析しており、産業の歴史、バリューチェーン、および市場力学の分析、世界、地域および国別のグレー端末・合法端末の出荷高実績(2010年・2011年)と予測(2012年〜2016年)提供しており、概略以下の内容でお届けいたします。

イントロダクション

  • グレー端末市場の歴史
  • 革新・革新的製品
  • グレー端末のバリューチェーン
  • 合法OEMを上回る競合的メリット

産業力学・主要動向

  • グレー端末が直面する課題
    • 合法傍受の問題
    • 消費者の不満
    • 健康・安全性の懸念
    • 収益機会の損失
  • 新しい動向
    • 西欧・北米への浸透
    • LTE端末の見通し
    • 高級化に向かう市場
  • 政府・規制の取り締まり
  • 大規模の取締りを防ぐ課題
    • IMEI番号の重複
    • 経済
    • 消費者の無関心
    • オープンOSプラットフォームの幅広い導入
    • 設備の地理的分布の拡大

市場規模・予測

  • グレー端末市場
    • 市場のピークはいつか?
    • 地域別分析
    • グレー端末の出荷国
    • デバイス分析
  • 北米市場
  • アジア太平洋地域市場
  • 西欧市場
  • 中東・アフリカ市場
  • 東欧市場
  • ラテンアメリカ・中央アメリカ

図表

目次

Abstract

Overview

image1

Grey handsets are not recognized or licensed by government regulators and employ fake International Mobile Equipment Identity (IMEI) numbers. Producers of these devices generally do not pay value-added taxes and, therefore, profit illegally from their participation in the market.

This report provides a global assessment of the grey handset ecosystem, in addition to considering the wider legitimate handset industry. A study of the industry's history, value chain and market dynamics is presented. The report also provides detailed market forecasts for grey and legitimate handset shipments from 2012 to 2016, at a global, regional and country level. Historical figures for 2010 and 2011 are also provided.

Driven by a growing popularity amongst cost-conscious consumers demanding high-end features at affordable prices, ARCchart expects the grey market will continue to grow over the next two years, eventually peaking in 2013, with nearly 150 million shipments. In conjunction with legitimate handset shipments, we expect grey handset shipments will witness a decline from 2013 onwards.

Topics of coverage include:

  • History of grey handsets
  • Industry dynamics
  • Grey handset value chain
  • Competitive advantages over legitimate handsets
  • Emerging trends
  • Grey smartphones
  • Health and safety concerns
  • Innovation and innovate products
  • Regulator attempts to curtail the market

Companies and organisations mentioned, discussed or reviewed include:

  • Apple
  • CK Telecom
  • HTC
  • Longcheer
  • Longyu
  • MediaTek
  • Motorola
  • Nokia
  • Qualcomm
  • Samsung
  • SIMCom
  • Spreadtrum
  • Texas Instruments
  • Tianyu (K-touch)
  • Wingtech

Answers and opinions are provided with respect to the following essential questions:

  • When will the grey handset market peak?
  • What are the factors driving the grey market?
  • How are grey manufacturers able to evade authorities?
  • Will Europe and North America see much grey handset penetration?
  • What proportion of the overall handset market will be grey?
  • Which country will be the largest market for grey devices?
  • How will the arrival of LTE impact the grey handset market?
  • What are the factors preventing regulators from a large scale crackdown?
  • Which region will experience the fastest grey handset growth in the coming years?

Table of Contents

A. INTRODUCTION

  • A.1 A History of the Grey Handset Market
    • The Concept of 'Shanzhai'
    • MediaTek's "Total Solution" Chip
    • The Rise of Grey Handsets
  • A.2 Innovation & Innovative Products
  • A.3 The Grey Handset Value Chain
    • Chipset Manufacturers
    • System Integrators aka Grey Manufacturers
    • Independent Design Houses
    • Component/Tool Suppliers
    • Distribution Channels
  • A.4 Competitive Advantage over Legitimate OEMs
    • Marketing & Promotion Advantage
    • Size Advantage

B. INDUSTRY DYNAMICS AND KEY TRENDS

  • B.1 Issues Faced by Grey Handsets
    • Problems with Lawful Interception
      • Missing or Fake IMEI Number
    • Consumer Dissatisfaction
      • Grey Handsets as Counterfeit Originals
      • Inferior Reliability
    • Health & Safety Concerns
    • Lost Revenue Opportunities
      • Loss of Tax Revenue
      • Loss of IP Royalties
      • Loss of Operator Revenue
  • B.2 Emerging Trends
    • Penetration into Western Europe and North America
    • Prospects for LTE Handset
      • The TD-LTE Advantage
    • Move to the Market High-end
  • B.3 Government & Regulatory Crackdown
  • B.4 Issues Preventing a Large Scale Crackdown
    • Duplication of IMEI Numbers
    • Economics
    • Consumer Apathy
    • Widespread Adoption of Open OS Platforms
      • Grey Smartphones
    • Expanding Geographic Distribution of Facilities
      • Shrinking Facility Size

C. MARKET SIZE AND FORECASTS

  • C.1 Grey Handsets Market
    • When Will the Market Peak?
    • Regional Breakdown
    • Top Grey Handset Shipments Countries
    • Device Breakdown
  • C.2 North America Market
  • C.3 Asia Pacific Market
  • C.4 Western Europe Market
  • C.5 Middle East & Africa Market
  • C.6 Eastern Europe Market
  • C.7 Latin & Central America

List of Figures

  • Figure 1 - Innovation in the grey handsets industry
  • Figure 2 - The grey handset value chain
  • Figure 3 - Survey results of grey handsets health and safety considerations
  • Figure 4 - Global grey handset shipments: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 5 - Global grey handsets and legitimate handset shipments compared: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 6 - Global handset market breakdown, by grey and legitimate handset: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 7 - Grey handset shipments by region: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 8 - Grey handset market share, by region: 2011
  • Figure 9 - Grey handset market share by region: 2013.
  • Figure 10 - Grey handset market share by region: 2016
  • Figure 11 - Global grey handset shipments, by top ten countries: 2011
  • Figure 12 - Global grey handset shipments, by top ten countries: 2016
  • Figure 13 - Global grey handset shipments, by devices type: 2010 -2016
  • Figure 14 - Global grey smartphones as a proportion of total smartphone shipments: 2010 -
  • Figure 15 - North America grey and legitimate handset shipments: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 16 - North America grey handset shipments, by country: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 17 - Asia Pacific grey and legitimate handset shipments: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 18 - Asia Pacific grey handset shipments, by top 5 countries: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 19 - Asia Pacific grey handset shipments, by country: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 20 - Western Europe grey and legitimate handset shipments: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 21 - Western Europe grey handset shipments, by top 5 countries: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 22 - Western Europe grey handset shipments, by country: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 23 - Middle East & Africa grey and legitimate handset shipments: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 24 - Middle East & Africa grey handset shipments, by top 5 countries: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 25 - Middle East & Africa grey handset shipments, by country: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 26 - Eastern Europe grey and legitimate handset shipments: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 27 - Eastern Europe grey handset shipments, by top 5 countries: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 28 - Latin & Central America grey and legitimate handset shipments: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 29 - Latin & Central America grey handset shipments, by top 5 countries: 2010 - 2016
  • Figure 30 - Latin & Central America grey handset shipments, by country: 2010 - 2016
Back to Top