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市場調査レポート
ハイブリッド自動車とその部品の動向:2009年
SupplierBusiness : Hybrid Vehicles and Components Report
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Abstract
One of the primary driving forces behind the production of hybrid vehicles has
been the tightening of global emission regulations. The need for fuel
efficiency has moved from being a consumer based motivation to an
environmental concern that requires regulation, not only to combat pollution
from noxious gases, but to limit the transport contribution to CO2 output -
partly responsible for global warming - and to provide a route to moving away
from strategic dependence on oil.
Hybrid vehicles as we know them today were launched on the market by Toyota in
Japan in 1997 and this was followed quickly by the arrival of the Honda
Insight into the US. Since then gasoline electric hybrid vehicles have become
a part of the automotive landscape with virtually all the major OEMs in either
the market or working towards model launch. At the end of 2008 there had been
some 34 models ranging from the full hybrid Prius to the mild hybrid Mercedes
S Class. Total hybrid global sales are now estimated at around 500,000 (not
including stopc¥start micro hybrids), with more than 350,000 hybrids sold
during 2007 in the US alone before the market fell to just over 300,000 units
in 2008.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Introduction
- History
- Drivers of hybrid vehicle development
Hybrid Technology
- Types of hybrid vehicle
- Micro Hybrids
- Electronic components
- Series hybrids
- Parallel hybrids
- Series/Parallel hybrids
- Full Hybrid
- Mild or Assist Hybrids
- Plug-In or Dual-Mode hybrids
- Hybrid transmissions
- One-Mode and Two-Mode Hybrids
- Regenerative braking
- Electric motors
- AC Motors
- DC Motors
- Synchronous motors
- Switch reluctance machines
- Battery Technology
- Lead acid
- Nickel-metal hydride (NiMH)
- Sodium nickel chloride (NaNiCl)
- Lithium-ion
- Li-ion technology improvements
- Supercapacitors and ultracapacitors
OEM Strategies
- General Motors
- Ford
- Volkswagen
- Daimler
- BMW
- Honda
- Nissan
- Renault
- PSA
- Hyundai
Incentives
- Fuel Economy
- Hybrid Incentives and Taxation
- North America
- Europe
- Japan
- The global light vehicle market
The hybrid market
- North America
- Europe
- Japan
Company Profiles
- Aisin AW
- Axeon Holdings
- Azure Dynamics
- Cobasys
- Continental
- Denso
- Eaton
- Hitachi
- JATCO
- Johnson Controls
- Keihin
- Maxwell Technologies
- NessCap
- Saft
- Sanyo
- Sumitomo Wiring
- TDK
- Toyota Industries
- UQM
- Visteon
- Yazaki
- ZF
List of Figures
- Figure 1: Hybrid model introductions by year - US
- Figure 2: Figure 2: Hybrid percentage share of US vehicle sales
- Figure 3: US gasoline prices versus hybrid monthly sales volume
- Figure 4: Global hybrid production 2008 - 2015
- Figure 5: Proportions of gasoline and diesel hybrid vehicles
- Figure 6: The attractiveness of hybrid technology compared to other
powertrain technology
- Figure 7: Potential roadmap to mass hybrid uptake
- Figure 8: European diesel sales 1999 - 2008
- Figure 9: The relationship between acceleration and fuel economy for
selected VW models
- Figure 10: Increasingly strict emissions standards for diesels
- Figure 11: The relationship between acceleration and fuel economy for
hybrid vehicles.
- Figure 12: CO2 versus cost for various powertrain options
- Figure 13: Carbon dioxide emissions versus cost per percentage fuel
reduction
- Figure 14: CO2 emissions by engine type
- Figure 15: CO2 savings by hybrid type
- Figure 16: Ratio of engine and motor operation in the hybrid system
- Figure 17: Continental' s ISAD Unit
- Figure 18: Micro-hybrid production forecast
- Figure 19: Delphi Belt Alternator Starter
- Figure 20: Hybrid electric vehicle drive configurations
- Figure 21: One-Mode Hybrid Input-Split EVT.
- Figure 22: Two-Mode Hybrid Input-Split EVT
- Figure 23: One-Mode Hybrid Input-Split EVT
- Figure 24: Two-Mode Hybrid with Input-Split and Compound-Split EVT Modes.
- Figure 25: Two mode hybrid transmission.
- Figure 26: Regenerative Braking System
- Figure 27: EV motors
- Figure 28: Switch reluctance machines
- Figure 29: Battery price trend forecast
- Figure 30: Battery technology evolution
- Figure 31: Energy storage overview
- Figure 32: A typical Zebra battery module
- Figure 33: Lithium-ion battery pack
- Figure 34: Energy density versus output density in battery systems
- Figure 35: A Ragone plot showing energy density vs power density for
various energy-storage devices
- Figure 36: Regional hybrid manufacture forecast
- Figure 37: Hybrid production forecast Asia
- Figure 38: GM' s powertrain and fuels strategy
- Figure 39: GM' s pre-reorganization strategy
- Figure 40: General Motors 2MT70 FWD two-mode hybrid transaxle, as seen
from engine side
- Figure 41: Ford' s SmartGauge cluster
- Figure 42: Ford Hybrid second generation hybrid systems architecture
- Figure 43: Volkswagen' s twinDRIVE system operating modes
- Figure 44: Volkswagen' s powertrain and fuel strategy
- Figure 45: VW forecast micro hybrid production
- Figure 46: VW Touareg hybrid powertrain
- Figure 47: E-motor support effect on torque and power
- Figure 48: Daimler Micro-Hybrid production forecast
- Figure 49: Daimler Mild and Full hybrid production forecast
- Figure 50: Mercedes-Benz micro hybrid system featuring a belt driven
starter-generator
- Figure 51: Mercedes-Benz ISG featuring a disc shaped electric motor as
fitted to the S-Class
- Figure 52: Mercedes-Benz Two-Mode hybrid drive
- Figure 53: Mercedes-Benz BlueZero concept
- Figure 54: BMW Micro-Hybrid production forecast
- Figure 55: BMW X6 hybrid configuration
- Figure 56: BMW Group hybrid strategy
- Figure 57: BMW Mild and Full hybrid production forecast
- Figure 58: Figure 43: Toyota micro hybrid production forecast
- Figure 59: Toyota full, mild and plug-in hybrid production forecast
- Figure 60: Japanese Toyota Prius sales by month
- Figure 61: Evolution of Toyota hybrid systems to 2009
- Figure 62: Prius 3 assembly
- Figure 63: Honda mild and full hybrid forecast
- Figure 64: 2009 Honda Insight interior featuring the Ecological Driver
Assist System
- Figure 65: Honda' s CR-Z hybrid sports car
- Figure 66: Nissan' s Leaf electric vehicle
- Figure 67: Renaults' Ondelios diesel hybrid crossover vehicle
- Figure 68: Peugeot' s 308 hybrid diesel prototype
- Figure 69: Hyundai' s Elantra LPG Hybrid powertrain
- Figure 70: Fuel economy/GHG regulation
- Figure 71: Phase-out credit calendar
- Figure 72: Toyota Prius tax credit timeline
- Figure 73: Toyota and Honda tax credit history
- Figure 74: US Tax credit availability April 2009
- Figure 75: Global hybrid production and growth rates to 2015
- Figure 76: Global hybrid vehicle production forecast to 2015, by region
- Figure 77: Global hybrid vehicle production forecast to 2015, by region
- Figure 78: US hybrid vehicle production forecast to 2015
- Figure 79: US hybrid sales by month
- Figure 80: US Hybrid market shares 2008
- Figure 81: US hybrid sales for January and April 2009 by manufacturer and
model
- Figure 82: Toyota hybrid vehicle sales in Japan, 1997 to 2009 (Jan - Apr)
- Figure 83: Number of Toyota' s clean-energy vehicles sold in Japan
- Figure 84: Monthly Prius sales since 2007 - Japan
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